TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148584
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111012––––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 67.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 17–14 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bolnyh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-14 in 31
Senyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 592 vs Bolnyh 794
Bolnyh
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 20% vs Bolnyh 40%
Bolnyh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 20% vs Bolnyh 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk -4 · Bolnyh +2
Senyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bolnyh) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 3.00 / Bolnyh 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Bolnyh)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148584
Senyk3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog16% won 17 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Bolnyh1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 38 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it80% 31 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk3wins
AwayBolnyh7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBolnyh leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk75%3 of 4
AwayBolnyh100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk4Bolnyh6n = 10Bolnyh took 6 of 10
S2Senyk4Bolnyh6n = 10Bolnyh took 6 of 10
S3Senyk7Bolnyh3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S4Senyk1Bolnyh7n = 8Bolnyh took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykBolnyhS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.138.9−3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 350 vs 84 / 18940.9%44.4%143 / 350 vs 84 / 189Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BolnyhSenyk 3.00/Bolnyh 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Bolnyh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 5 · 06:25M. Senyk33771181O. Bolnyh3911116113
LAug 13 · 11:25M. Senyk351161081O. Bolnyh3841112113
LAug 12 · 12:55M. Senyk34714581O. Bolnyh45111211113
WAug 7 · 05:55M. Senyk331111113O. Bolnyh215790
WAug 6 · 05:25M. Senyk4211812113O. Bolnyh399111091
LAug 5 · 13:25M. Senyk3621111662O. Bolnyh49119711113
LJul 18 · 06:25M. Senyk46711117102O. Bolnyh44118211123
LJul 17 · 13:55M. Senyk2410770O. Bolnyh341211113
LJul 10 · 07:25M. Senyk33871171O. Bolnyh4111118113
M. Senyk10
LSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk1.361113123O. Kulbach3.00811100LSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990LSep 12 · 16:25P. Chyzh1.501113113M. Senyk2.5071160LSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 18 · 13:55O. Bolnyh1.73128412113V. Sydorchuk2.001011111042WSep 18 · 12:55M. Kornijchuk3.40511291O. Bolnyh1.3011811113LSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151LSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192LSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840LSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360LSep 9 · 18:25I. Fokin1.5012119113O. Bolnyh2.501091191LSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570
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