TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13150087
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykhailo Senyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118118––––
Vasyl Moroz
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Vasyl Moroz below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 67.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 18–5 Vasyl Moroz Vasyl Moroz has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-5 in 23
Senyk
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 584 vs Moroz 506
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 20% vs Moroz 40%
Moroz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 30% vs Moroz 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +1 · Moroz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Senyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.44 / Moroz 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Senyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13150087
Senyk1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 73 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Moroz2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 22 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk7wins
AwayMoroz3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayMoroz25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk6Moroz4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Senyk6Moroz4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S3Senyk7Moroz3n = 10Senyk took 7 of 10
S4Senyk4Moroz3n = 7Senyk took 4 of 7
S5Senyk1Moroz2n = 3Moroz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykMorozS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.9+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykMorozBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 352 vs 36 / 11740.9%30.8%144 / 352 vs 36 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match34.934.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.44/Moroz 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk194690V. Moroz331111113
WSep 1 · 08:05M. Senyk45111112113V. Moroz38991461
WAug 7 · 08:55M. Senyk452111110113V. Moroz4711881282
WAug 6 · 08:55M. Senyk331111113V. Moroz186480
WAug 5 · 17:55M. Senyk4611913133V. Moroz4181111111
LJul 9 · 17:55M. Senyk4411711872V. Moroz49911711113
WJul 2 · 08:55M. Senyk4071111113V. Moroz33116791
WJul 1 · 15:55M. Senyk4211118123V. Moroz335711101
LJun 19 · 07:55M. Senyk44111011572V. Moroz49812711113
M. Senyk10
WSep 18 · 16:25M. Senyk1.531211113M. Kornijchuk2.3810620LSep 18 · 14:55M. Senyk3.0089100O. Bolnyh1.361111123LSep 18 · 13:25M. Senyk6.5011716472P. Chyzh1.109111411113LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk1.73111141182V. Sydorchuk2.00136118113LSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113LSep 13 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.201311113M. Senyk4.3311690WSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk1.361113123O. Kulbach3.00811100LSep 13 · 06:55M. Kornijchuk2.38931113113M. Senyk1.53111181182LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk1.5081111232V. Sydorchuk2.50116511113WSep 12 · 18:25M. Senyk1.731111103V. Sydorchuk2.006990
V. Moroz10
LSep 18 · 16:55V. Moroz4.00115471O. Bolnyh1.2261111113LSep 18 · 15:55V. Moroz4.334830V. Sydorchuk1.201111113WSep 18 · 14:25V. Moroz2.25981111113M. Kornijchuk1.5711119992LSep 18 · 12:25V. Moroz5.5011951132P. Chyzh1.13911115113WSep 13 · 10:55M. Senyk1.284690V. Moroz3.501111113WSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 08:25M. Kornijchuk1.6711117113V. Moroz2.10681151LSep 13 · 06:25V. Sydorchuk1.2251111113V. Moroz4.00116981LSep 13 · 04:25P. Chyzh1.2211515113V. Moroz4.007111341LSep 12 · 17:55P. Chyzh1.228101111113V. Moroz4.0011128972
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