TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Kulbach vs Andrii Lanchut 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116106––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOleksii Kulbach to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Kulbach above · Andrii Lanchut below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-6
Point 51 set 3, 10-6 — our read held Oleksii Kulbach at 58.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Kulbach 7–4 Andrii Lanchut Andrii Lanchut has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kulbach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Kulbach
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulbach 401 vs Lanchut 390
Kulbach
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulbach 20% vs Lanchut 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulbach 30% vs Lanchut 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulbach -4 · Lanchut -1
Kulbach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kulbach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lanchut form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulbach 1.61 / Lanchut 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kulbach)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13203868
Kulbach1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lanchut2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 22 days ago (Sep 05) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog12% won 4 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulbach6wins
AwayLanchut4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKulbach leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulbach62.5%5 of 8
AwayLanchutn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulbach8Lanchut2n = 10Kulbach took 8 of 10
S2Kulbach8Lanchut2n = 10Kulbach took 8 of 10
S3Kulbach3Lanchut7n = 10Lanchut took 7 of 10
S4Kulbach4Lanchut5n = 9Lanchut took 5 of 9
S5Kulbach3Lanchut3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulbachLanchutK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.941.7+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulbachLanchutBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 196 vs 9 / 8524%10.6%47 / 196 vs 9 / 85Avg sets wonper match1.41.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.630.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulbachKulbach 1.61/Lanchut 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Kulbach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kulbach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach50118911113A. Lanchut4581111872
LSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach51121379102A. Lanchut5510111111123
WAug 12 · 11:55O. Kulbach4211119113A. Lanchut32941181
LJul 18 · 10:25O. Kulbach47111111682A. Lanchut45461311113
WJul 17 · 17:55O. Kulbach331111113A. Lanchut205690
WNov 14 · 08:25O. Kulbach3911125113A. Lanchut356101181
WOct 22 · 12:25O. Kulbach511011126123A. Lanchut491261011102
LOct 17 · 18:55O. Kulbach541113118112A. Lanchut531311511133
WOct 6 · 18:55O. Kulbach46111158113A. Lanchut4156111182
O. Kulbach10
LSep 13 · 11:25V. Sydorchuk1.141111113O. Kulbach5.007520LSep 13 · 09:55O. Kulbach2.3837100V. Moroz1.531111123LSep 13 · 07:55M. Senyk1.361113123O. Kulbach3.00811100LSep 13 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.259111011113O. Kulbach3.7511312792WSep 13 · 04:55M. Kornijchuk1.283970O. Kulbach3.501111113LSep 12 · 18:55M. Kornijchuk1.441111113O. Kulbach2.639730LSep 12 · 17:25O. Kulbach5.00911651V. Sydorchuk1.141181173WSep 12 · 15:25M. Senyk1.30911691O. Kulbach3.4011811103WSep 12 · 13:25P. Chyzh1.30811171O. Kulbach3.4011116113LSep 12 · 12:25V. Moroz1.6111912113O. Kulbach2.209111081
A. Lanchut10
LSep 27 · 13:55A. Lanchut4.004610V. Slobodian1.22111143LSep 5 · 10:55A. Lanchut3.407970M. Senyk1.301111113WSep 5 · 08:55M. Kornijchuk1.20681141A. Lanchut4.3311117113LSep 5 · 07:55A. Lanchut6.00115661V. Sydorchuk1.1191111113LSep 5 · 06:55O. Kulbach1.73118911113A. Lanchut2.0081111872LSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WSep 1 · 11:35A. Lanchut4.501114113M. Senyk1.1771280WSep 1 · 09:35O. Kulbach1.57121379102A. Lanchut2.2510111111123LSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161LSep 1 · 06:35A. Lanchut7.0011581152V. Sydorchuk1.08811119113
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