TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Lipeiko vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116117––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 59.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 3–3 Maksym Stetsenko Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1447 vs Stetsenko 1384
Lipeiko
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 80% vs Stetsenko 40%
Lipeiko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 50% vs Stetsenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +2 · Stetsenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.57 / Stetsenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180123
Lipeiko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Stetsenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 93 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLipeiko3wins
AwayStetsenko3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko60%3 of 5
AwayStetsenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko5Stetsenko1n = 6Lipeiko took 5 of 6
S2Lipeiko2Stetsenko4n = 6Stetsenko took 4 of 6
S3Lipeiko2Stetsenko4n = 6Stetsenko took 4 of 6
S4Lipeiko2Stetsenko1n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLipeikoStetsenkoL − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.036.3+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 516 vs 444 / 85448.3%52%249 / 516 vs 444 / 854Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.57/Stetsenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 17 · 08:20O. Lipeiko331111113M. Stetsenko268990
LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko371171091M. Stetsenko3511112113
LAug 24 · 09:20O. Lipeiko4011481252M. Stetsenko529111110113
WJul 13 · 07:50O. Lipeiko331111113M. Stetsenko236980
WJul 1 · 16:00O. Lipeiko501171011113M. Stetsenko4681112962
LJun 29 · 10:20O. Lipeiko2991280M. Stetsenko361114113
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 23 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy2.25571191O. Lipeiko1.5711117113WSep 23 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.75711371O. Lipeiko1.4011711113WSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113LSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 15:30V. Smyk2.10711781O. Lipeiko1.6711711113WSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113LSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890WSep 19 · 18:30O. Lipeiko1.7311811123S. Baranskyi2.006119101LSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 23 · 12:00S. Skhabitskiy1.83128100M. Stetsenko1.831411123WSep 21 · 11:35O. Ovsiienko1.8078131242M. Stetsenko1.9111111110113LSep 21 · 10:35S. Skhabitskiy2.001311113M. Stetsenko1.7311680LSep 21 · 09:05D. Ponomarenko1.7311123113M. Stetsenko2.006101161LSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk2.501111113M. Stetsenko1.509840WSep 21 · 05:05V. Mukhin3.75117111032M. Stetsenko1.25611912113WSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540LSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731
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