TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ovsiienko vs Oleksandr Lipeiko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117311711––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 66.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 1–3 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Lipeiko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1440 vs Lipeiko 1435
Ovsiienko
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 60% vs Lipeiko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 80% vs Lipeiko 50%
Ovsiienko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko -1 · Lipeiko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 2.75 / Lipeiko 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180097
Ovsiienko2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 78 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 74
Lipeiko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOvsiienko1wins
AwayLipeiko3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLipeiko leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLipeiko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko1Lipeiko3n = 4Lipeiko took 3 of 4
S2Ovsiienko1Lipeiko3n = 4Lipeiko took 3 of 4
S3Ovsiienko2Lipeiko2n = 4split evenly
S4Ovsiienko1Lipeiko2n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoLipeikoO − LBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.042.2−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 878 vs 249 / 51651.8%48.3%455 / 878 vs 249 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoOvsiienko 2.75/Lipeiko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 20 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko529101111113O. Lipeiko4711127982
LSep 17 · 12:20O. Ovsiienko197930O. Lipeiko331111113
LSep 7 · 11:35O. Ovsiienko4211119652O. Lipeiko46761111113
LAug 24 · 12:20O. Ovsiienko31851261O. Lipeiko43111110113
O. Ovsiienko10
LSep 21 · 11:35O. Ovsiienko1.8078131242M. Stetsenko1.9111111110113WSep 21 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.00312741O. Ovsiienko1.22111011113WSep 21 · 08:35O. Ovsiienko1.831111113S. Skhabitskiy1.831140WSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113LSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Smyk1.50119491O. Ovsiienko2.5081111113WSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 23 · 14:00O. Lipeiko1.571111113M. Stetsenko2.255670WSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113LSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 15:30V. Smyk2.10711781O. Lipeiko1.6711711113WSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113LSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890WSep 19 · 18:30O. Lipeiko1.7311811123S. Baranskyi2.006119101LSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252
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