TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Hel vs Orest Melnik · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Sep 23, 05:25Scheduled
Valerii Hel
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 25–5Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
11 – 6
All 17 meetings · 64.7%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
Orest Melnik
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 16–4Last 10Lost last 1
Same-day rematch · 13h before this match
Hel beat Melnik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 1.44 / Melnik 2.63
Setka Cup · #13179659
Hel1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Melnik2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHel7wins
AwayMelnik3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHel leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel77.8%7 of 9
AwayMelnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel9Melnik1n = 10Hel took 9 of 10
S2Hel4Melnik6n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S3Hel6Melnik4n = 10Hel took 6 of 10
S4Hel4Melnik4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHelMelnikH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.235.6+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 234 vs 169 / 36555.6%46.3%130 / 234 vs 169 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 16:25V. Hel331111113O. Melnik199640
LSep 17 · 12:55V. Hel351195101O. Melnik4281111123
WSep 16 · 05:25V. Hel331111113O. Melnik187380
WSep 15 · 15:55V. Hel3811411123O. Melnik325116101
WAug 5 · 05:25V. Hel49117146113O. Melnik42611121122
WAug 4 · 13:55V. Hel4411157113O. Melnik407131191
LJul 29 · 05:25V. Hel351171161O. Melnik4381113113
WJul 21 · 13:55V. Hel4811917113O. Melnik438111591
LJul 15 · 07:25V. Hel35712971O. Melnik43111011113
WJul 9 · 07:55V. Hel4211911113O. Melnik34811961
V. Hel10
WSep 22 · 16:25V. Hel1.571111113O. Melnik2.259640WSep 22 · 14:55V. Hel2.50811115113K. Tkachenko1.5011691162LSep 22 · 13:25V. Hel2.388111161D. Kozoriz1.5311138113LSep 22 · 11:55V. Hel1.9171161372D. Kasian1.801181111113WSep 21 · 10:35V. Salivonchyk2.757101191V. Hel1.4011124113LSep 21 · 09:35V. Hel1.28111111972O. Maslovskyi3.50139611113LSep 21 · 08:35V. Hel1.8381111622S. Kryvoshyi1.83114711113WSep 21 · 07:05V. Hel1.531111113M. Vivatenko2.388770WSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161LSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110
O. Melnik10
LSep 22 · 16:25V. Hel1.571111113O. Melnik2.259640WSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik1.801211133D. Kozoriz1.91109110WSep 22 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi1.3012911942O. Melnik3.401011611113LSep 22 · 12:55O. Melnik6.506690K. Tkachenko1.101111113WSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961LSep 17 · 16:55V. Kheresko2.00101411113O. Melnik1.731212421WSep 17 · 14:55M. Treschetka3.40117111272O. Melnik1.30711714113LSep 17 · 13:55O. Melnik1.30159110O. Maksymkiv3.401711133WSep 17 · 12:55V. Hel1.441195101O. Melnik2.6381111123WSep 16 · 10:55O. Melnik2.5081211143D. Kasian1.5011104121
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