TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143085
Played Sep 17Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11713111311––––
Valerii Hel
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Valerii Hel below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 66 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Valerii Hel at 75.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 1–3 Valerii Hel Mykolay Treschetka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Hel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Hel
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1145 vs Hel 1239
Hel
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Hel 20%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 40% vs Hel 20%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -1 · Hel -4
Hel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hel) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hel form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 3.50 / Hel 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Hel)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13143085
Treschetka3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 71
Hel1.28
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 54 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTreschetka1wins
AwayHel3wins
Hel leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka1Hel3n = 4Hel took 3 of 4
S2Treschetka0Hel4n = 4Hel took 4 of 4
S3Treschetka2Hel2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricTreschetkaHelT − HBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.235.2−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaHelBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 942 vs 125 / 22550.3%55.6%474 / 942 vs 125 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HelTreschetka 3.50/Hel 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Hel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LApr 17 · 04:25M. Treschetka29691131V. Hel3911116113
LApr 16 · 18:25M. Treschetka2112180V. Hel361411113
LFeb 14 · 11:55M. Treschetka2911990V. Hel351311113
WFeb 1 · 15:55M. Treschetka42111011103V. Hel31712571
M. Treschetka10
LSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113LSep 17 · 14:55M. Treschetka3.40117111272O. Melnik1.30711714113WSep 17 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.36119137113I. Fokin3.00511111192WSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840LSep 14 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.171211113M. Treschetka4.5010420LSep 14 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.8371181192V. Kheresko1.83113113113LSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143LSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.50591111113I. Fokin2.5011116882WSep 13 · 18:55V. Kheresko1.614270M. Treschetka2.201111113
V. Hel10
LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161LSep 17 · 12:55V. Hel1.441195101O. Melnik2.6381111123LSep 16 · 11:25V. Hel1.808101171O. Maksymkiv1.9111125113WSep 16 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.67101112562V. Hel2.101271011113LSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192LSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113WSep 16 · 05:25O. Melnik2.507380V. Hel1.501111113LSep 15 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57116811113V. Hel2.2531111762LSep 15 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0011117113V. Hel1.73771171
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