TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136596
Played Sep 16Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121171210511611
Valerii Hel
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Valerii Hel below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 55.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 2–0 Valerii Hel Valerii Hel has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Belanchik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1195 vs Hel 1291
Hel
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 60% vs Hel 20%
Belanchik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 60% vs Hel 30%
Belanchik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -1 · Hel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hel form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.67 / Hel 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Belanchik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136596
Belanchik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 24 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Hel2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBelanchik2wins
AwayHel0wins
Belanchik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBelanchikHelB − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.528.5+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikHelBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 247 vs 124 / 22044.9%56.4%111 / 247 vs 124 / 220Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikBelanchik 1.67/Hel 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 21 · 08:25D. Belanchik351112123V. Hel26610100
WMar 20 · 19:25D. Belanchik4211911113V. Hel31611681
D. Belanchik10
LSep 16 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.758950D. Kasian1.401111113WSep 16 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.2511811113O. Melnik1.57811691WSep 16 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.9181111113O. Maksymkiv1.80118671WSep 13 · 17:55I. Fokin1.8071411592D. Belanchik1.911112711113LSep 13 · 16:55D. Belanchik2.38116881V. Kheresko1.5381111113WSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381LSep 13 · 14:25D. Belanchik1.8381080O. Sapuzhak1.831112113WSep 13 · 12:25D. Belanchik1.831111108113M. Treschetka1.8374121142LSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131WSep 9 · 09:25D. Belanchik2.10121111123O. Maksymkiv1.671437101
V. Hel10
LSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192LSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113WSep 16 · 05:25O. Melnik2.507380V. Hel1.501111113LSep 15 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57116811113V. Hel2.2531111762LSep 15 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0011117113V. Hel1.73771171WSep 15 · 15:55O. Melnik2.385116101V. Hel1.5311411123WSep 15 · 13:55D. Kasian2.1051180V. Hel1.671113113LSep 15 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv1.91471311113V. Hel1.80111111832LAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113LAug 6 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi4.5081115113V. Hel1.171171381
Upcoming Matches
D. Belanchik
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V. Hel
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