TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122678
Played Sep 13Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611811811––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 62.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 2–4 Vsevolod Kheresko Dmitriy Belanchik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kheresko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Kheresko
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1171 vs Kheresko 1205
Kheresko
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 60% vs Kheresko 40%
Belanchik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 40% vs Kheresko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik +1 · Kheresko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kheresko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 2.38 / Kheresko 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kheresko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122678
Belanchik2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 15 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Kheresko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 95 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 78 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBelanchik2wins
AwayKheresko4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKheresko leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKheresko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik2Kheresko4n = 6Kheresko took 4 of 6
S2Belanchik3Kheresko3n = 6split evenly
S3Belanchik3Kheresko3n = 6split evenly
S4Belanchik3Kheresko1n = 4Belanchik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBelanchikKhereskoB − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.037.5−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 242 vs 211 / 42344.6%49.9%108 / 242 vs 211 / 423Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoBelanchik 2.38/Kheresko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik45107111162V. Kheresko46121157113
LAug 20 · 04:55D. Belanchik204970V. Kheresko331111113
LJul 26 · 12:25D. Belanchik45111181142V. Kheresko53913119113
LJul 3 · 04:55D. Belanchik37911891V. Kheresko4211911113
WJun 1 · 10:25D. Belanchik4291111113V. Kheresko29119631
WMay 31 · 18:25D. Belanchik331111113V. Kheresko227690
D. Belanchik10
WSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381LSep 13 · 14:25D. Belanchik1.8381080O. Sapuzhak1.831112113WSep 13 · 12:25D. Belanchik1.831111108113M. Treschetka1.8374121142LSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131WSep 9 · 09:25D. Belanchik2.10121111123O. Maksymkiv1.671437101LSep 9 · 08:25D. Belanchik1.80761191A. Didyk1.9111111113LSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113LSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192
V. Kheresko10
WSep 13 · 14:55I. Fokin2.38211781V. Kheresko1.5311911113LSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183WSep 13 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak3.50311661V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 8 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.221111113V. Kheresko4.006790LSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113LSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171WSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113LSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280LSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.2091111582V. Kheresko1.61113411113
Upcoming Matches
D. Belanchik
Nothing scheduled
V. Kheresko
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