TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeValerii Hel to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Valerii Hel at 55.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 4–0 Mykhailo Vivatenko Mykhailo Vivatenko has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Hel
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hel 1268 vs Vivatenko 1244
Hel
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 20% vs Vivatenko 60%
Vivatenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 30% vs Vivatenko 80%
Vivatenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel +1 · Vivatenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hel) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 1.53 / Vivatenko 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hel)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13166078
Hel1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 54 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 38 of 53
Vivatenko2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 7 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHel4wins
AwayVivatenko0wins
Hel leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel100%3 of 3
AwayVivatenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel3Vivatenko1n = 4Hel took 3 of 4
S2Hel4Vivatenko0n = 4Hel took 4 of 4
S3Hel2Vivatenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Hel3Vivatenko0n = 3Hel took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHelVivatenkoH − VBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.533.8+8.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 227 vs 154 / 27256%56.6%127 / 227 vs 154 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HelHel 1.53/Vivatenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Hel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 21 · 07:05V. Hel331111113M. Vivatenko228770
WApr 17 · 06:25V. Hel55111112213M. Vivatenko447414191
WApr 3 · 07:55V. Hel3731112113M. Vivatenko341191041
WMar 21 · 06:25V. Hel45111112113M. Vivatenko35661491
V. Hel10
WSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161LSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161LSep 17 · 12:55V. Hel1.441195101O. Melnik2.6381111123LSep 16 · 11:25V. Hel1.808101171O. Maksymkiv1.9111125113WSep 16 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.67101112562V. Hel2.101271011113LSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192LSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113WSep 16 · 05:25O. Melnik2.507380V. Hel1.501111113
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 21 · 05:35M. Vivatenko1.2811118113O. Maslovskyi3.50881171LSep 18 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.835880V. Kheresko1.831111113WSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113WSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860WSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113
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