TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148605
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311111311––––
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 40 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 65.7%
40 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 12–27 Mykhailo Vivatenko Mykolay Treschetka has won 12 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-27 in 39
Vivatenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1132 vs Vivatenko 1241
Vivatenko
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Vivatenko 80%
Vivatenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 40% vs Vivatenko 80%
Vivatenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -1 · Vivatenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.63 / Vivatenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Vivatenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148605
Treschetka2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 71
Vivatenko1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it73% 46 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka4wins
AwayVivatenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka50%2 of 4
AwayVivatenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S2Treschetka5Vivatenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Treschetka5Vivatenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Treschetka7Vivatenko2n = 9Treschetka took 7 of 9
S5Treschetka1Vivatenko5n = 6Vivatenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaVivatenkoT − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.643.1−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 938 vs 152 / 27050.2%56.3%471 / 938 vs 152 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoTreschetka 2.63/Vivatenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka3621111572M. Vivatenko47116811113
WAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka44111111113M. Vivatenko31138821
LAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka4511781182M. Vivatenko45611116113
LAug 24 · 08:55M. Treschetka4196111142M. Vivatenko50111189113
LAug 14 · 07:25M. Treschetka4571213762M. Vivatenko5411101111113
WAug 1 · 09:25M. Treschetka4011711113M. Vivatenko27111961
WJul 27 · 10:55M. Treschetka4012116113M. Vivatenko391091191
LJul 13 · 09:25M. Treschetka501141114102M. Vivatenko546111312123
LJul 3 · 06:25M. Treschetka239770M. Vivatenko331111113
WMay 15 · 08:55M. Treschetka52712814113M. Vivatenko511110111272
M. Treschetka10
LSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113WSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131LSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113LSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110LSep 17 · 14:55M. Treschetka3.40117111272O. Melnik1.30711714113WSep 17 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.36119137113I. Fokin3.00511111192WSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840LSep 14 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.171211113M. Treschetka4.5010420LSep 14 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.8371181192V. Kheresko1.83113113113
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860WSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821
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