TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126194
Played Sep 14Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51110121171151416
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 14-16
Point 102 set 5, 14-16 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 67.6%
102 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 2–7 Mykhailo Vivatenko Hryhoriy Oliynyk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Vivatenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1261 vs Vivatenko 1218
Oliynyk
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 60% vs Vivatenko 80%
Vivatenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 40% vs Vivatenko 60%
Vivatenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +1 · Vivatenko +4
Vivatenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 2.75 / Vivatenko 1.40
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Vivatenko)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126194
Oliynyk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 22 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Vivatenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 43 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOliynyk2wins
AwayVivatenko7wins
4 of 9 to a deciderVivatenko leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVivatenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk2Vivatenko7n = 9Vivatenko took 7 of 9
S2Oliynyk4Vivatenko5n = 9Vivatenko took 5 of 9
S3Oliynyk2Vivatenko7n = 9Vivatenko took 7 of 9
S4Oliynyk3Vivatenko4n = 7Vivatenko took 4 of 7
S5Oliynyk2Vivatenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricOliynykVivatenkoO − VBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match35.740.4−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 222 vs 150 / 26951.8%55.8%115 / 222 vs 150 / 269Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoOliynyk 2.75/Vivatenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LFeb 6 · 18:55H. Oliynyk204880M. Vivatenko331111113
LJan 30 · 15:25H. Oliynyk259880M. Vivatenko331111113
LOct 23 · 14:55H. Oliynyk381191171M. Vivatenko4313118113
LAug 8 · 07:25H. Oliynyk4339111192M. Vivatenko44111174113
LAug 1 · 07:25H. Oliynyk31117761M. Vivatenko4071111113
LApr 15 · 17:55H. Oliynyk341111841M. Vivatenko4213711113
WMar 13 · 08:25H. Oliynyk41411411113M. Vivatenko4511611982
LMar 12 · 14:25H. Oliynyk4461191172M. Vivatenko44116115113
WMar 6 · 09:55H. Oliynyk45111184113M. Vivatenko4036111192
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 14 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.44111188113V. Kheresko2.6323111192LSep 14 · 05:55H. Oliynyk1.61116951I. Fokin2.2051111113WSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780WSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131LSep 9 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.3811511892V. Dobrovolskyi1.53911311113LSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.4411115492O. Maksymkiv2.63741111113LSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113LSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113
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