TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126139
Played Sep 14Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117118––––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 64.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 6–2 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1257 vs Salivonchyk 1239
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 20% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 40% vs Salivonchyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +1 · Salivonchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.50 / Salivonchyk 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Oliynyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126139
Oliynyk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 27 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Salivonchyk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOliynyk6wins
AwaySalivonchyk2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderOliynyk leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySalivonchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk6Salivonchyk2n = 8Oliynyk took 6 of 8
S2Oliynyk5Salivonchyk3n = 8Oliynyk took 5 of 8
S3Oliynyk5Salivonchyk3n = 8Oliynyk took 5 of 8
S4Oliynyk4Salivonchyk0n = 4Oliynyk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricOliynykSalivonchykO − SBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match37.027.4+9.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 224 vs 335 / 61950.5%54.1%113 / 224 vs 335 / 619Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.50/Salivonchyk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk228950V. Salivonchyk331111113
LJul 29 · 10:25H. Oliynyk4911991192V. Salivonchyk49811118113
WJun 1 · 11:25H. Oliynyk331111113V. Salivonchyk155280
WAug 28 · 16:55H. Oliynyk321111103V. Salivonchyk198560
WAug 21 · 11:55H. Oliynyk4211911113V. Salivonchyk29511581
WJul 3 · 17:25H. Oliynyk4011117113V. Salivonchyk27781111
WJun 19 · 18:25H. Oliynyk4291111113V. Salivonchyk24117331
WJan 15 · 11:25H. Oliynyk361114113V. Salivonchyk2331280
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131LSep 9 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.3811511892V. Dobrovolskyi1.53911311113LSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.4411115492O. Maksymkiv2.63741111113LSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113LSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 13 · 18:25O. Sapuzhak2.6361112123V. Salivonchyk1.4411810101WSep 13 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.1011118452V. Salivonchyk1.67961111113LSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381WSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183LSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113LSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113
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