TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122817
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleg Sapuzhak
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61111812101210––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:56 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleg Sapuzhak above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 68.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Sapuzhak 2–6 Vasil Salivonchyk Oleg Sapuzhak has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Salivonchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Salivonchyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sapuzhak 1167 vs Salivonchyk 1254
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sapuzhak 40% vs Salivonchyk 60%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sapuzhak 30% vs Salivonchyk 60%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sapuzhak +1 · Salivonchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSapuzhak 2.63 / Salivonchyk 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122817
Sapuzhak2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Salivonchyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 77 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it72% 58 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSapuzhak2wins
AwaySalivonchyk6wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSapuzhak25%1 of 4
AwaySalivonchyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sapuzhak4Salivonchyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Sapuzhak3Salivonchyk5n = 8Salivonchyk took 5 of 8
S3Sapuzhak3Salivonchyk5n = 8Salivonchyk took 5 of 8
S4Sapuzhak3Salivonchyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Sapuzhak0Salivonchyk3n = 3Salivonchyk took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSapuzhakSalivonchykSapuzhak − SalivonchykBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match34.841.8−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSapuzhakSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 185 vs 335 / 61841.6%54.2%77 / 185 vs 335 / 618Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSapuzhak 2.63/Salivonchyk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sapuzhak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak1710250V. Salivonchyk341211113
LAug 30 · 12:25O. Sapuzhak27113761V. Salivonchyk4181111113
LAug 23 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak4151111952V. Salivonchyk51119911113
LAug 16 · 12:25O. Sapuzhak53135119152V. Salivonchyk591111911173
WAug 9 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak4291111113V. Salivonchyk36118981
LJul 19 · 17:25O. Sapuzhak4111761162V. Salivonchyk47811116113
LJul 12 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak1963100V. Salivonchyk341111123
WMar 29 · 13:55O. Sapuzhak3811124113V. Salivonchyk327101141
O. Sapuzhak10
WSep 13 · 16:25I. Fokin2.101051271O. Sapuzhak1.67121110113LSep 13 · 15:25O. Sapuzhak2.50913611M. Treschetka1.50111111113WSep 13 · 14:25D. Belanchik1.8381080O. Sapuzhak1.831112113LSep 13 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak3.50311661V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113WSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113LSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LAug 30 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv1.8091112113O. Sapuzhak1.911181081
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 13 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.1011118452V. Salivonchyk1.67961111113LSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381WSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183LSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113LSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113
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