Hryhoriy Oliynyk vs Illia Fokin 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13125982

Played Sep 14Finished

Hryhoriy Oliynyk

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

115611911511––

Illia Fokin

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Hryhoriy Oliynyk to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Illia Fokin below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 56.5%

69 points played in total.

The pickConfirm

Sealed 18:32

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Oliynyk

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Oliynyk 1270 vs Fokin 1065

Oliynyk

Wrong

both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Oliynyk 40% vs Fokin 0%

Oliynyk

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Oliynyk 50% vs Fokin 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Oliynyk +2 · Fokin -5

Fokin

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fokin form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOliynyk 1.61 / Fokin 2.20

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Oliynyk)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13125982

Oliynyk1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite64% won 27 of 42

Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27

Fokin2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog48% won 34 of 71

Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricOliynykFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 220 vs 138 / 25951.8%53.3%114 / 220 vs 138 / 259Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Oliynyk

Oliynyk 1.61/Fokin 2.20

Miss

What we said

57.7%

Oliynyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Fokin won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

H. Oliynyk10