TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13125984
Played Sep 14Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611116611115
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 86 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 6–7 Vsevolod Kheresko Mykhailo Vivatenko has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kheresko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1181 vs Kheresko 1195
Kheresko
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 40% vs Kheresko 60%
Kheresko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 40% vs Kheresko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko +1 · Kheresko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kheresko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.91 / Kheresko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kheresko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13125984
Vivatenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Kheresko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 98 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 80 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVivatenko3wins
AwayKheresko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKheresko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVivatenko33.3%2 of 6
AwayKheresko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vivatenko6Kheresko4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S2Vivatenko2Kheresko8n = 10Kheresko took 8 of 10
S3Vivatenko4Kheresko6n = 10Kheresko took 6 of 10
S4Vivatenko6Kheresko3n = 9Vivatenko took 6 of 9
S5Vivatenko0Kheresko3n = 3Kheresko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVivatenkoKhereskoV − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.4−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 276 vs 212 / 42555.1%49.9%152 / 276 vs 212 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoVivatenko 1.91/Kheresko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 11:25M. Vivatenko381161381V. Kheresko4471115113
WJul 3 · 11:25M. Vivatenko4011711113V. Kheresko29511851
LJun 20 · 09:55M. Vivatenko471111121122V. Kheresko52613148113
WJun 20 · 05:55M. Vivatenko4111712113V. Kheresko327111041
LJun 15 · 07:55M. Vivatenko49117111372V. Kheresko537111311113
WJun 11 · 09:25M. Vivatenko4181111113V. Kheresko32119841
LJun 8 · 11:25M. Vivatenko4614851182V. Kheresko521211117113
LJun 7 · 14:25M. Vivatenko4371212121V. Kheresko49111410143
LMay 15 · 10:55M. Vivatenko3914114101V. Kheresko4816911123
LMay 13 · 07:35M. Vivatenko204970V. Kheresko331111113
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560
V. Kheresko10
LSep 13 · 18:55V. Kheresko1.614270M. Treschetka2.201111113WSep 13 · 16:55D. Belanchik2.38116881V. Kheresko1.5381111113WSep 13 · 14:55I. Fokin2.38211781V. Kheresko1.5311911113LSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183WSep 13 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak3.50311661V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 8 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.221111113V. Kheresko4.006790LSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113LSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171WSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113LSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280
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