TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126323
Played Sep 14Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711711116115116
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 61.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 17–6 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-6 in 23
Vivatenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1230 vs Salivonchyk 1232
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 100% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Vivatenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 60% vs Salivonchyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko +5 · Salivonchyk +2
Vivatenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.57 / Salivonchyk 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Vivatenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126323
Vivatenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 43 of 60
Salivonchyk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVivatenko7wins
AwaySalivonchyk3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVivatenko80%4 of 5
AwaySalivonchyk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vivatenko5Salivonchyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Vivatenko6Salivonchyk4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S3Vivatenko6Salivonchyk4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S4Vivatenko5Salivonchyk4n = 9Vivatenko took 5 of 9
S5Vivatenko3Salivonchyk2n = 5Vivatenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVivatenkoSalivonchykV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.639.0+5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 270 vs 337 / 62355.9%54.1%151 / 270 vs 337 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoVivatenko 1.57/Salivonchyk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:25M. Vivatenko4411914552V. Salivonchyk483111211113
WAug 24 · 07:55M. Vivatenko4181111113V. Salivonchyk33115891
LJul 13 · 07:25M. Vivatenko2410860V. Salivonchyk341211113
WJun 15 · 08:55M. Vivatenko4111118113V. Salivonchyk32881151
LJun 8 · 04:55M. Vivatenko53111213982V. Salivonchyk5613101111113
WJun 7 · 18:25M. Vivatenko50811119113V. Salivonchyk3911651162
WMay 4 · 05:25M. Vivatenko541112911113V. Salivonchyk4451411772
WApr 6 · 07:25M. Vivatenko43101111113V. Salivonchyk31128651
WNov 15 · 09:25M. Vivatenko4211911113V. Salivonchyk24211561
WOct 20 · 07:25M. Vivatenko541111138113V. Salivonchyk4989151162
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 14 · 09:55I. Fokin1.8310128121V. Salivonchyk1.83121011143WSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143LSep 14 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.7351111113V. Salivonchyk2.00113971LSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780LSep 13 · 18:25O. Sapuzhak2.6361112123V. Salivonchyk1.4411810101WSep 13 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.1011118452V. Salivonchyk1.67961111113LSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381WSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183LSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552
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