TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126190
Played Sep 14Finished
Illia Fokin
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101212108111214––
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIllia Fokin above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 89 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Illia Fokin 1–0 Vasil Salivonchyk Vasil Salivonchyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Salivonchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fokin 1076 vs Salivonchyk 1225
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fokin 20% vs Salivonchyk 40%
Salivonchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fokin 40% vs Salivonchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fokin -1 · Salivonchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Salivonchyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFokin 1.83 / Salivonchyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126190
Fokin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Salivonchyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFokin1wins
AwaySalivonchyk0wins
Fokin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFokinSalivonchykF − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match32.024.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFokinSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 261 vs 336 / 62253.3%54%139 / 261 vs 336 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykFokin 1.83/Salivonchyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin321111103V. Salivonchyk249780
I. Fokin10
LSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 05:55H. Oliynyk1.61116951I. Fokin2.2051111113LSep 14 · 04:55M. Treschetka1.50591111113I. Fokin2.5011116882LSep 13 · 17:55I. Fokin1.8071411592D. Belanchik1.911112711113LSep 13 · 16:25I. Fokin2.101051271O. Sapuzhak1.67121110113LSep 13 · 14:55I. Fokin2.38211781V. Kheresko1.5311911113LSep 13 · 13:25I. Fokin2.25791171M. Treschetka1.5711116113WSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113WSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143LSep 14 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.7351111113V. Salivonchyk2.00113971LSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780LSep 13 · 18:25O. Sapuzhak2.6361112123V. Salivonchyk1.4411810101WSep 13 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.1011118452V. Salivonchyk1.67961111113LSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381WSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183LSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113LSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090
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