TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148517
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012511119811––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 43–91 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Mykolay Treschetka has won 43 of their 134 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-91 in 134
Maslovskyi
Correct
gap of 48 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1146 vs Maslovskyi 1081
Treschetka
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Maslovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 40% vs Maslovskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +1 · Maslovskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.20 / Maslovskyi 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maslovskyi)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13148517
Treschetka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 71
Maslovskyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 114 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it85% 82 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka3wins
AwayMaslovskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka33.3%1 of 3
AwayMaslovskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Treschetka5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Treschetka6Maslovskyi4n = 10Treschetka took 6 of 10
S4Treschetka3Maslovskyi5n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Treschetka1Maslovskyi3n = 4Maslovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaMaslovskyiT − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.043.6−5.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 937 vs 424 / 85250.3%49.8%471 / 937 vs 424 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiTreschetka 2.20/Maslovskyi 1.61
Hit
What we said
54%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka4165111182O. Maslovskyi50111189113
WSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka3851111113O. Maslovskyi27115471
LAug 31 · 06:55M. Treschetka3913461152O. Maslovskyi531111119113
LAug 28 · 07:25M. Treschetka391191181O. Maslovskyi3813113113
LAug 27 · 13:25M. Treschetka4213119812O. Maslovskyi521181111113
WAug 24 · 07:25M. Treschetka47118116113O. Maslovskyi4571181182
LAug 20 · 08:55M. Treschetka29411591O. Maslovskyi4211911113
LAug 17 · 08:55M. Treschetka29931161O. Maslovskyi4211119113
M. Treschetka10
WSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131LSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113LSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110LSep 17 · 14:55M. Treschetka3.40117111272O. Melnik1.30711714113WSep 17 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.36119137113I. Fokin3.00511111192WSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840LSep 14 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.171211113M. Treschetka4.5010420LSep 14 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.8371181192V. Kheresko1.83113113113LSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 18 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.63101050V. Kheresko1.441212113LSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 17 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441112113B. Pyrtyk2.6361010WSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi1.73531151M. Dunas2.0011118113WSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113WSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461WSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113
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