TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136749
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117911112––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 1–0 Yuriy Shcherbak Yuriy Shcherbak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:21What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1070 vs Shcherbak 933
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 80% vs Shcherbak 20%
Maslovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Shcherbak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Shcherbak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Maslovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.50 / Shcherbak 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136749
Maslovskyi1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 108 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it85% 77 of 91
Shcherbak2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaslovskyi1wins
AwayShcherbak0wins
Maslovskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMaslovskyiShcherbakM − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.031.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 853 vs 141 / 26049.9%54.2%426 / 853 vs 141 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiMaslovskyi 1.50/Shcherbak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WApr 22 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi4211119113Y. Shcherbak31871151
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113WSep 16 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.201112113I. Fokin1.6161010WSep 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.671110112113M. Dunas2.1061271192WSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151WSep 10 · 08:55M. Dunas2.006211121O. Maslovskyi1.7311116143LSep 10 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi2.258115101I. Fokin1.5711811123WSep 10 · 06:55A. Nikolenko2.7511115512O. Maslovskyi1.40591111113LSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123LSep 9 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi2.00871181I. Fokin1.7311115113
Y. Shcherbak10
LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590WSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133
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