TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136663
Played Sep 16Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112115119––––
Yuriy Shcherbak
Away
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 87.3% is still 87.3%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
87.3%
87.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Yuriy Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 49 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 87.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 28–0 Yuriy Shcherbak Yuriy Shcherbak has won 0 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Nikolenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-0 in 28
Nikolenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1056 vs Shcherbak 951
Nikolenko
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 40% vs Shcherbak 60%
Shcherbak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 60% vs Shcherbak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko +1 · Shcherbak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Nikolenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 1.13 / Shcherbak 5.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Nikolenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136663
Nikolenko1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 88 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it98% 54 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it86% 69 of 80
Shcherbak5.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko10wins
AwayShcherbak0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNikolenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko100%9 of 9
AwayShcherbakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko9Shcherbak1n = 10Nikolenko took 9 of 10
S2Nikolenko9Shcherbak1n = 10Nikolenko took 9 of 10
S3Nikolenko9Shcherbak1n = 10Nikolenko took 9 of 10
S4Nikolenko2Shcherbak1n = 3Nikolenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoShcherbakN − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.025.4+12.6per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 690 vs 141 / 25847.3%54.7%326 / 690 vs 141 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NikolenkoNikolenko 1.13/Shcherbak 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.3%
Nikolenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 09:25A. Nikolenko341112113Y. Shcherbak2191020
WAug 26 · 14:25A. Nikolenko331111113Y. Shcherbak187650
WAug 22 · 07:55A. Nikolenko341211113Y. Shcherbak1610330
WAug 21 · 17:55A. Nikolenko321111103Y. Shcherbak175570
WAug 15 · 09:25A. Nikolenko341112113Y. Shcherbak1831050
WAug 14 · 16:55A. Nikolenko4413118123Y. Shcherbak4111911101
WAug 11 · 06:55A. Nikolenko4991213153Y. Shcherbak45111011131
WAug 10 · 17:55A. Nikolenko521371110113Y. Shcherbak50111181282
WJul 23 · 05:25A. Nikolenko331111113Y. Shcherbak114340
WJul 22 · 16:55A. Nikolenko351311113Y. Shcherbak1711150
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 16 · 12:25A. Nikolenko2.0011128123I. Fokin1.7341011101LSep 10 · 10:25M. Dunas1.801111113A. Nikolenko1.917350LSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:55A. Nikolenko2.7511115512O. Maslovskyi1.40591111113LSep 10 · 04:55A. Nikolenko1.80111061192I. Fokin1.91812113113WSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123WSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091WSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570WSep 9 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.8371311113I. Fokin1.831111751
Y. Shcherbak10
WSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270
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