TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136493
Played Sep 16Finished
Yuriy Shcherbak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118118119––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYuriy Shcherbak above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 67.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Shcherbak 12–11 Viktor Ivanytskyi Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 934 vs Ivanytskyi 1087
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 60% vs Ivanytskyi 80%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 60% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak -2 · Ivanytskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 3.00 / Ivanytskyi 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136493
Shcherbak3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Ivanytskyi1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 73 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak3wins
AwayIvanytskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvanytskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak3Ivanytskyi7n = 10Ivanytskyi took 7 of 10
S2Shcherbak5Ivanytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Shcherbak2Ivanytskyi8n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S4Shcherbak2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
S5Shcherbak2Ivanytskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakIvanytskyiS − IBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.3−3.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 257 vs 108 / 17954.5%60.3%140 / 257 vs 108 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiShcherbak 3.00/Ivanytskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 11:25Y. Shcherbak258980V. Ivanytskyi331111113
LAug 27 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak50111310882V. Ivanytskyi483111211113
WAug 26 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak52812711143V. Ivanytskyi511110117122
WAug 22 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak491211312113V. Ivanytskyi47106111462
LAug 21 · 14:55Y. Shcherbak429126151V. Ivanytskyi49111011173
LAug 14 · 18:55Y. Shcherbak2912890V. Ivanytskyi361411113
WAug 11 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak351311113V. Ivanytskyi2511860
LAug 10 · 14:55Y. Shcherbak2361070V. Ivanytskyi341112113
LJul 23 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak208570V. Ivanytskyi331111113
LJul 22 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak4596111182V. Ivanytskyi47111168113
Y. Shcherbak10
LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113LAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102LAug 29 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak1.17611711112V. Sydorchuk4.50119112133WAug 29 · 15:55Y. Shcherbak1.201111113O. Bolnyh4.335480WAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 16 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73119591M. Dunas2.0081111113LSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840WSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171WAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980
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