TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136705
Played Sep 16Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911511911––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 59.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 2–2 Mykhailo Dunas Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1070 vs Dunas 1056
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 60% vs Dunas 40%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 60% vs Dunas 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi -2 · Dunas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 1.73 / Dunas 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136705
Ivanytskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 73 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Dunas2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 10 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi2wins
AwayDunas2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDunas66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi1Dunas3n = 4Dunas took 3 of 4
S2Ivanytskyi2Dunas2n = 4split evenly
S3Ivanytskyi2Dunas2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiDunasI − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.836.8−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 180 vs 24 / 6460%37.5%108 / 180 vs 24 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiIvanytskyi 1.73/Dunas 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi351113113M. Dunas2441190
LSep 9 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi388118111M. Dunas4311811133
WSep 3 · 04:25V. Ivanytskyi37041111113M. Dunas4611119692
LSep 2 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi2581070M. Dunas341112113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113LSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840WSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171
M. Dunas10
LSep 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.671110112113M. Dunas2.1061271192WSep 10 · 10:25M. Dunas1.801111113A. Nikolenko1.917350LSep 10 · 08:55M. Dunas2.006211121O. Maslovskyi1.7311116143LSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 05:55M. Dunas2.6311129113I. Fokin1.442101141WSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360WSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111LSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091LSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131WSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630
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