TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136843
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411911115112611
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 81 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 62.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 4–4 Viktor Ivanytskyi Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1081 vs Ivanytskyi 1067
Maslovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 80% vs Ivanytskyi 40%
Maslovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Ivanytskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +4 · Ivanytskyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.25 / Ivanytskyi 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136843
Maslovskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 63 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 81
Ivanytskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 73 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi4wins
AwayIvanytskyi4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi75%3 of 4
AwayIvanytskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi4Ivanytskyi4n = 8split evenly
S2Maslovskyi3Ivanytskyi5n = 8Ivanytskyi took 5 of 8
S3Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi6n = 8Ivanytskyi took 6 of 8
S4Maslovskyi2Ivanytskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiIvanytskyiM − IBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match31.834.0−2.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 853 vs 108 / 18149.9%59.7%426 / 853 vs 108 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiMaslovskyi 2.25/Ivanytskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi227690V. Ivanytskyi331111113
LSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi208930V. Ivanytskyi331111113
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi49111287113V. Ivanytskyi41610111132
LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi27117541V. Ivanytskyi4071111113
WJul 30 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi50811911113V. Ivanytskyi4611811792
WMay 9 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3711411113V. Ivanytskyi33411991
WMar 12 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi331111113V. Ivanytskyi132650
LMar 11 · 19:25O. Maslovskyi163580V. Ivanytskyi331111113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 16 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.201112113I. Fokin1.6161010WSep 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.671110112113M. Dunas2.1061271192WSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151WSep 10 · 08:55M. Dunas2.006211121O. Maslovskyi1.7311116143LSep 10 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi2.258115101I. Fokin1.5711811123WSep 10 · 06:55A. Nikolenko2.7511115512O. Maslovskyi1.40591111113LSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123LSep 9 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi2.00871181I. Fokin1.7311115113WSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 16 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi1.73119591M. Dunas2.0081111113LSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840WSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171
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