TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143134
Played Sep 17Finished
Yuriy Shcherbak
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuriy Shcherbak above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 73.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Shcherbak 0–2 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Yuriy Shcherbak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 904 vs Maslovskyi 1083
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 20% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Maslovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 20% vs Maslovskyi 70%
Maslovskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak -2 · Maslovskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Maslovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 3.40 / Maslovskyi 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13143134
Shcherbak3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 23 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Maslovskyi1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 111 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it85% 79 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeShcherbak0wins
AwayMaslovskyi2wins
Maslovskyi leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricShcherbakMaslovskyiS − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match29.042.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 265 vs 423 / 85153.6%49.7%142 / 265 vs 423 / 851Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiShcherbak 3.40/Maslovskyi 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 16 · 16:25Y. Shcherbak27771121O. Maslovskyi4211119113
LApr 22 · 11:55Y. Shcherbak31871151O. Maslovskyi4211119113
Y. Shcherbak10
LSep 17 · 08:25Y. Shcherbak3.251011771M. Dunas1.3312711113LSep 17 · 06:55Y. Shcherbak6.001151051A. Nikolenko1.1191112113WSep 17 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak1.6791311113B. Pyrtyk2.101111681LSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113LSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590WSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi1.73531151M. Dunas2.0011118113WSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113WSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461WSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113WSep 16 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2.201112113I. Fokin1.6161010WSep 16 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.671110112113M. Dunas2.1061271192WSep 10 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.1711129113O. Bolnyh4.509101151WSep 10 · 08:55M. Dunas2.006211121O. Maslovskyi1.7311116143
Upcoming Matches
Y. Shcherbak
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O. Maslovskyi
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