TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142031
Played Sep 17Finished
Yuriy Shcherbak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311116118––
Bohdan Pyrtyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeYuriy Shcherbak to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYuriy Shcherbak above · Bohdan Pyrtyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Yuriy Shcherbak at 59.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Shcherbak 6–6 Bohdan Pyrtyk Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 910 vs Pyrtyk 822
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 20% vs Pyrtyk 100%
Pyrtyk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 40% vs Pyrtyk 70%
Pyrtyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak -4 · Pyrtyk +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrtyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 1.67 / Pyrtyk 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Shcherbak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142031
Shcherbak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite79% won 84 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Pyrtyk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak5wins
AwayPyrtyk5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak66.7%4 of 6
AwayPyrtyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak6Pyrtyk4n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S2Shcherbak4Pyrtyk6n = 10Pyrtyk took 6 of 10
S3Shcherbak6Pyrtyk4n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S4Shcherbak4Pyrtyk6n = 10Pyrtyk took 6 of 10
S5Shcherbak3Pyrtyk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakPyrtykS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.442.7+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakPyrtykBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 262 vs 147 / 33353.8%44.1%141 / 262 vs 147 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakShcherbak 1.67/Pyrtyk 2.10
Hit
What we said
59%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak481151110113B. Pyrtyk4891181282
LAug 18 · 06:25Y. Shcherbak4476111192B. Pyrtyk43111173113
WAug 17 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak48811117113B. Pyrtyk3811551162
LAug 15 · 05:25Y. Shcherbak47118117102B. Pyrtyk48711711123
WJun 25 · 05:55Y. Shcherbak3811511113B. Pyrtyk29511941
LJun 11 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak37912971B. Pyrtyk43111011113
LJun 5 · 16:55Y. Shcherbak4071111111B. Pyrtyk4211513133
WMay 27 · 11:05Y. Shcherbak4011711113B. Pyrtyk36811891
WMay 13 · 05:55Y. Shcherbak49117911113B. Pyrtyk4161111852
LApr 2 · 04:55Y. Shcherbak5311198782B. Pyrtyk599171111113
Y. Shcherbak10
LSep 16 · 18:25Y. Shcherbak2.20511931M. Dunas1.6111611113LSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 15:25Y. Shcherbak4.0011511962I. Fokin1.22911611113LSep 16 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.131111113Y. Shcherbak5.502590WSep 16 · 12:55Y. Shcherbak3.00101111113V. Ivanytskyi1.36128891LAug 30 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113Y. Shcherbak2.638980LAug 30 · 09:55Y. Shcherbak1.36971191P. Melnichuk3.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:55V. Sydorchuk4.00119118112Y. Shcherbak1.22811511133WAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113WAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113
B. Pyrtyk10
WSep 17 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi1.3651070B. Pyrtyk3.001112113WSep 1 · 10:35B. Pyrtyk1.0891111113O. Kulbach7.00117891WSep 1 · 09:05B. Pyrtyk1.141111113V. Moroz5.004540WSep 1 · 07:35B. Pyrtyk1.1011115113A. Lanchut6.50241161WSep 1 · 06:05B. Pyrtyk1.13911116113M. Senyk5.5011961172WSep 1 · 04:35B. Pyrtyk1.57111122113V. Sydorchuk2.2549111172WAug 22 · 10:25O. Martynenko1.3351111792B. Pyrtyk3.25114711113WAug 22 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.202980LAug 22 · 08:25B. Pyrtyk2.6341280V. Ivanytskyi1.441114113LAug 22 · 06:55B. Pyrtyk2.63911881A. Nikolenko1.4411511113
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