TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148446
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121012511––––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 67.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 24–24 Vsevolod Kheresko Dead even across their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kheresko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-24 in 48
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1095 vs Kheresko 1280
Kheresko
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Kheresko 100%
Kheresko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Kheresko 90%
Kheresko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Kheresko +8
Kheresko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kheresko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.63 / Kheresko 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kheresko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148446
Maslovskyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 64 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Kheresko1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 100 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 80 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi5wins
AwayKheresko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi100%3 of 3
AwayKheresko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Kheresko7n = 10Kheresko took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi3Kheresko7n = 10Kheresko took 7 of 10
S3Maslovskyi5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S4Maslovskyi5Kheresko2n = 7Maslovskyi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiKhereskoM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.435.2−0.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 853 vs 221 / 43549.8%50.8%425 / 853 vs 221 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoMaslovskyi 2.63/Kheresko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi25101050V. Kheresko351212113
LAug 20 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi225890V. Kheresko331111113
WAug 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3911611113V. Kheresko29411861
WAug 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi501161111113V. Kheresko3913117442
WAug 1 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4071111113V. Kheresko32118671
LJul 26 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi30691141V. Kheresko3911116113
WJul 20 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi49111116113V. Kheresko35971811
LJul 13 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi302111161V. Kheresko4311138113
LJul 12 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi178540V. Kheresko331111113
WJul 6 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi4211119113V. Kheresko34971171
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113LSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 17 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441112113B. Pyrtyk2.6361010WSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi1.73531151M. Dunas2.0011118113WSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113WSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461WSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121LSep 16 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.2549111162V. Ivanytskyi1.57111152113
V. Kheresko10
WSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113WSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113WSep 17 · 16:55V. Kheresko2.00101411113O. Melnik1.731212421WSep 17 · 15:55V. Kheresko2.00991111113O. Maksymkiv1.7311116882WSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161WSep 17 · 12:25V. Kheresko1.4411119113I. Fokin2.63951151WSep 14 · 11:25V. Kheresko1.447111111143I. Fokin2.63118137122WSep 14 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.8371181192V. Kheresko1.83113113113LSep 14 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.44111188113V. Kheresko2.6323111192WSep 14 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.7351111113V. Salivonchyk2.00113971
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