TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142914
Played Sep 17Finished
Vsevolod Kheresko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911911116118118
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVsevolod Kheresko above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 58.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Vsevolod Kheresko 9–26 Oleh Maksymkiv Vsevolod Kheresko has won 9 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Maksymkiv
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-26 in 35
Maksymkiv
Wrong
gap of 17 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kheresko 1226 vs Maksymkiv 1197
Kheresko
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kheresko 80% vs Maksymkiv 40%
Kheresko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kheresko 70% vs Maksymkiv 20%
Kheresko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kheresko +4 · Maksymkiv +1
Kheresko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maksymkiv) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKheresko 2.00 / Maksymkiv 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maksymkiv)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13142914
Kheresko2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 52 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Maksymkiv1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 120 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKheresko2wins
AwayMaksymkiv8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKheresko28.6%2 of 7
AwayMaksymkiv100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kheresko7Maksymkiv3n = 10Kheresko took 7 of 10
S2Kheresko5Maksymkiv5n = 10split evenly
S3Kheresko3Maksymkiv7n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S4Kheresko2Maksymkiv6n = 8Maksymkiv took 6 of 8
S5Kheresko0Maksymkiv3n = 3Maksymkiv took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhereskoMaksymkivK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.3−1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhereskoMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 432 vs 384 / 73950.2%52%217 / 432 vs 384 / 739Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymkivKheresko 2.00/Maksymkiv 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maksymkiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:25V. Kheresko341211113O. Maksymkiv2310940
LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko4411118141O. Maksymkiv4713711163
LSep 2 · 07:55V. Kheresko4411871172O. Maksymkiv44911112113
LAug 19 · 09:55V. Kheresko388101191O. Maksymkiv3811124113
LAug 10 · 11:25V. Kheresko34117791O. Maksymkiv4181111113
LAug 1 · 09:55V. Kheresko32812571O. Maksymkiv43111011113
LJul 26 · 14:25V. Kheresko4111921182O. Maksymkiv44311118113
WJul 14 · 13:25V. Kheresko341211113O. Maksymkiv2310670
LJul 9 · 04:25V. Kheresko53111313792O. Maksymkiv557111511113
LJul 2 · 17:25V. Kheresko321363101O. Maksymkiv45111111123
V. Kheresko10
WSep 17 · 16:55V. Kheresko2.00101411113O. Melnik1.731212421WSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161WSep 17 · 12:25V. Kheresko1.4411119113I. Fokin2.63951151WSep 14 · 11:25V. Kheresko1.447111111143I. Fokin2.63118137122WSep 14 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.8371181192V. Kheresko1.83113113113LSep 14 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.44111188113V. Kheresko2.6323111192WSep 14 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.7351111113V. Salivonchyk2.00113971LSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152LSep 13 · 18:55V. Kheresko1.614270M. Treschetka2.201111113WSep 13 · 16:55D. Belanchik2.38116881V. Kheresko1.5381111113
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 17 · 13:55O. Melnik1.30159110O. Maksymkiv3.401711133LSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840WSep 16 · 11:25V. Hel1.808101171O. Maksymkiv1.9111125113LSep 16 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv2.75145981D. Kasian1.40121111113LSep 16 · 07:55O. Melnik1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.753730LSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420LSep 16 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.9181111113O. Maksymkiv1.80118671LSep 15 · 17:55O. Maksymkiv3.4011117572O. Melnik1.30891111113LSep 15 · 16:25O. Maksymkiv3.4011911762K. Tkachenko1.30711811113LSep 15 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv2.205650D. Kasian1.611111113
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