TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148436
Played Sep 18Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 67.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 3–8 Mykhailo Vivatenko Hryhoriy Oliynyk has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vivatenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Vivatenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1257 vs Vivatenko 1234
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 40% vs Vivatenko 100%
Vivatenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 40% vs Vivatenko 70%
Vivatenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -1 · Vivatenko +7
Vivatenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Vivatenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 2.75 / Vivatenko 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Vivatenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148436
Oliynyk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Vivatenko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it73% 46 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk2wins
AwayVivatenko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVivatenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk2Vivatenko8n = 10Vivatenko took 8 of 10
S2Oliynyk4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S3Oliynyk4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S4Oliynyk4Vivatenko3n = 7Oliynyk took 4 of 7
S5Oliynyk1Vivatenko3n = 4Vivatenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykVivatenkoO − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.6−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 226 vs 151 / 26951.8%56.1%117 / 226 vs 151 / 269Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoOliynyk 2.75/Vivatenko 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk331111113M. Vivatenko217860
LSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk515101111142M. Vivatenko51111275163
LFeb 6 · 18:55H. Oliynyk204880M. Vivatenko331111113
LJan 30 · 15:25H. Oliynyk259880M. Vivatenko331111113
LOct 23 · 14:55H. Oliynyk381191171M. Vivatenko4313118113
LAug 8 · 07:25H. Oliynyk4339111192M. Vivatenko44111174113
LAug 1 · 07:25H. Oliynyk31117761M. Vivatenko4071111113
LApr 15 · 17:55H. Oliynyk341111841M. Vivatenko4213711113
WMar 13 · 08:25H. Oliynyk41411411113M. Vivatenko4511611982
LMar 12 · 14:25H. Oliynyk4461191172M. Vivatenko44116115113
H. Oliynyk10
LSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113WSep 14 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.171211113M. Treschetka4.5010420LSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.44111188113V. Kheresko2.6323111192LSep 14 · 05:55H. Oliynyk1.61116951I. Fokin2.2051111113WSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780WSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131LSep 9 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.3811511892V. Dobrovolskyi1.53911311113LSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.4411115492O. Maksymkiv2.63741111113LSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113
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