TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148526
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118118115––
Illia Fokin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 76 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 63.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 1–0 Illia Fokin Illia Fokin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1234 vs Fokin 1086
Vivatenko
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 80% vs Fokin 60%
Vivatenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 70% vs Fokin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko -1 · Fokin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.61 / Fokin 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Vivatenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148526
Vivatenko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 59 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it73% 46 of 63
Fokin2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 34 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVivatenko1wins
AwayFokin0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVivatenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVivatenkoFokinV − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.047.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 269 vs 145 / 27556.1%52.7%151 / 269 vs 145 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoVivatenko 1.61/Fokin 2.20
Hit
What we said
58.5%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko481111411113I. Fokin4777111392
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113LSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860WSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821
I. Fokin10
LSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131WSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113LSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961WSep 17 · 17:25I. Fokin2.63111111113O. Maksymkiv1.44134361WSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 17 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.36119137113I. Fokin3.00511111192LSep 17 · 12:25V. Kheresko1.4411119113I. Fokin2.63951151WSep 16 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi1.9110980I. Fokin1.801211103WSep 16 · 17:25I. Fokin1.731181111113M. Dunas2.0061191382LSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.