TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148364
Played Sep 18Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811811––––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 7–7 Vsevolod Kheresko Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kheresko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1251 vs Kheresko 1297
Kheresko
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 80% vs Kheresko 100%
Kheresko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 90% vs Kheresko 100%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko +2 · Kheresko +11
Kheresko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kheresko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.83 / Kheresko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kheresko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148364
Vivatenko1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kheresko1.83
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 11
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVivatenko4wins
AwayKheresko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKheresko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVivatenko42.9%3 of 7
AwayKheresko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vivatenko7Kheresko3n = 10Vivatenko took 7 of 10
S2Vivatenko2Kheresko8n = 10Kheresko took 8 of 10
S3Vivatenko5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S4Vivatenko6Kheresko4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S5Vivatenko1Kheresko3n = 4Kheresko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVivatenkoKhereskoV − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.943.2−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 270 vs 223 / 43756.7%51%153 / 270 vs 223 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoVivatenko 1.83/Kheresko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko45116116113V. Kheresko4181161152
LAug 1 · 11:25M. Vivatenko381161381V. Kheresko4471115113
WJul 3 · 11:25M. Vivatenko4011711113V. Kheresko29511851
LJun 20 · 09:55M. Vivatenko471111121122V. Kheresko52613148113
WJun 20 · 05:55M. Vivatenko4111712113V. Kheresko327111041
LJun 15 · 07:55M. Vivatenko49117111372V. Kheresko537111311113
WJun 11 · 09:25M. Vivatenko4181111113V. Kheresko32119841
LJun 8 · 11:25M. Vivatenko4614851182V. Kheresko521211117113
LJun 7 · 14:25M. Vivatenko4371212121V. Kheresko49111410143
LMay 15 · 10:55M. Vivatenko3914114101V. Kheresko4816911123
M. Vivatenko10
WSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113WSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860WSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.731111411113I. Fokin2.0077111392WSep 14 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.5021111572M. Vivatenko1.50116811113WSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
V. Kheresko10
WSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin2.75712261V. Kheresko1.40111011113WSep 18 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.501196101V. Kheresko2.5061111123WSep 18 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.63101050V. Kheresko1.441212113WSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113WSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113WSep 17 · 16:55V. Kheresko2.00101411113O. Melnik1.731212421WSep 17 · 15:55V. Kheresko2.00991111113O. Maksymkiv1.7311116882WSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161WSep 17 · 12:25V. Kheresko1.4411119113I. Fokin2.63951151LSep 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.91116116113V. Kheresko1.8081161152
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