TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811114117611211
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 82 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 8–11 Serhii Kryvoshyi Valerii Hel has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hel 1268 vs Kryvoshyi 1339
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 40% vs Kryvoshyi 100%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 30% vs Kryvoshyi 70%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel +2 · Kryvoshyi +6
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 1.83 / Kryvoshyi 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166310
Hel1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kryvoshyi1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHel5wins
AwayKryvoshyi5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHel50%3 of 6
AwayKryvoshyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hel6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Hel took 6 of 10
S2Hel4Kryvoshyi6n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S3Hel7Kryvoshyi3n = 10Hel took 7 of 10
S4Hel5Kryvoshyi3n = 8Hel took 5 of 8
S5Hel1Kryvoshyi3n = 4Kryvoshyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHelKryvoshyiH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.5+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 227 vs 250 / 55256%45.3%127 / 227 vs 250 / 552Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiHel 1.83/Kryvoshyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 07:25V. Hel4812881192S. Kryvoshyi501011117113
LSep 15 · 17:25V. Hel32771171S. Kryvoshyi4011117113
LAug 6 · 12:55V. Hel35117981S. Kryvoshyi3851111113
WAug 5 · 09:25V. Hel4261114113S. Kryvoshyi351141281
LAug 4 · 17:25V. Hel45115121072S. Kryvoshyi451111012113
WJul 29 · 10:55V. Hel45111211113S. Kryvoshyi40914891
LJul 28 · 17:25V. Hel49111181182S. Kryvoshyi41134112113
WJul 21 · 11:55V. Hel331111113S. Kryvoshyi229760
WJul 15 · 08:55V. Hel48771112113S. Kryvoshyi44111181042
WMay 28 · 07:55V. Hel341211113S. Kryvoshyi2010460
V. Hel10
WSep 21 · 07:05V. Hel1.531111113M. Vivatenko2.388770WSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161LSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161LSep 17 · 12:55V. Hel1.441195101O. Melnik2.6381111123LSep 16 · 11:25V. Hel1.808101171O. Maksymkiv1.9111125113WSep 16 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.67101112562V. Hel2.101271011113LSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192LSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113WSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 16 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi1.73121167113D. Belanchik2.00102111172WSep 16 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.30911119113O. Melnik3.4011251192WSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192WSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420LSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123LSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980WSep 15 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0011117113V. Hel1.73771171LSep 15 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.441711113S. Kryvoshyi2.6315970
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