TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131369
Played Sep 15Finished
Kyrylo Tkachenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715119117––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeKyrylo Tkachenko to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyrylo Tkachenko above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 70 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kyrylo Tkachenko at 68.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Kyrylo Tkachenko 18–8 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tkachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-8 in 26
Tkachenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1381 vs Kryvoshyi 1284
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 80% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
Tkachenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 50% vs Kryvoshyi 70%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko +1 · Kryvoshyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Tkachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.44 / Kryvoshyi 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Tkachenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131369
Tkachenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 67 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it84% 51 of 61
Kryvoshyi2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 23 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkachenko6wins
AwayKryvoshyi4wins
Tkachenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkachenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKryvoshyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Tkachenko took 6 of 10
S2Tkachenko7Kryvoshyi3n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S3Tkachenko7Kryvoshyi3n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S4Tkachenko2Kryvoshyi4n = 6Kryvoshyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkachenkoKryvoshyiT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.333.9+3.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 176 vs 253 / 55555.7%45.6%98 / 176 vs 253 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 1.44/Kryvoshyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko33815371S. Kryvoshyi46111311113
LSep 1 · 15:25K. Tkachenko389111081S. Kryvoshyi3911512113
WAug 18 · 16:25K. Tkachenko401811113S. Kryvoshyi3016770
WAug 6 · 16:55K. Tkachenko351111133S. Kryvoshyi2494110
WAug 4 · 15:25K. Tkachenko4511513163S. Kryvoshyi4481111141
LJul 28 · 15:25K. Tkachenko4011612111S. Kryvoshyi4681114133
WJul 21 · 16:25K. Tkachenko371111153S. Kryvoshyi2768130
WJul 14 · 18:25K. Tkachenko331111113S. Kryvoshyi158340
LMay 27 · 15:55K. Tkachenko30491161S. Kryvoshyi4211119113
WMay 20 · 14:25K. Tkachenko4291111113S. Kryvoshyi26112491
K. Tkachenko10
WSep 15 · 14:25O. Melnik4.509490K. Tkachenko1.171111113LSep 15 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.61971191D. Kasian2.2011117113WSep 8 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.221111113V. Kheresko4.006790WSep 8 · 16:55D. Kozoriz1.679490K. Tkachenko2.101111113WSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.40815371S. Kryvoshyi2.75111311113LSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781WSep 1 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.251111113V. Kheresko3.758870LSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.369111081S. Kryvoshyi3.0011512113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 15 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv2.508820S. Kryvoshyi1.501111113WSep 15 · 12:25O. Melnik3.25117641S. Kryvoshyi1.3381111113LSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191WSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113LSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.40815371S. Kryvoshyi2.75111311113LSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990WSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 1 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.369111081S. Kryvoshyi3.0011512113
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