TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131294
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811211––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 51 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 59.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 4–5 Serhii Kryvoshyi Oleh Maksymkiv has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1271 vs Kryvoshyi 1270
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv +1 · Kryvoshyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 2.50 / Kryvoshyi 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131294
Maksymkiv2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Kryvoshyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv4wins
AwayKryvoshyi5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv100%4 of 4
AwayKryvoshyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv4Kryvoshyi5n = 9Kryvoshyi took 5 of 9
S2Maksymkiv2Kryvoshyi7n = 9Kryvoshyi took 7 of 9
S3Maksymkiv1Kryvoshyi8n = 9Kryvoshyi took 8 of 9
S4Maksymkiv4Kryvoshyi1n = 5Maksymkiv took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaksymkivKryvoshyiM − KBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match32.337.2−4.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 728 vs 252 / 55452.5%45.5%382 / 728 vs 252 / 554Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiMaksymkiv 2.50/Kryvoshyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv291021521S. Kryvoshyi47121113113
WSep 6 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv4111118113S. Kryvoshyi32881151
WSep 2 · 08:55O. Maksymkiv531271112113S. Kryvoshyi501011131062
LAug 19 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2164110S. Kryvoshyi351111133
LJul 15 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv2111460S. Kryvoshyi351311113
LJul 14 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv204880S. Kryvoshyi331111113
WMay 5 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv4211128113S. Kryvoshyi305101141
WMar 2 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv50119811113S. Kryvoshyi4061111932
LJan 11 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv142840S. Kryvoshyi331111113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 15 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv2.205650D. Kasian1.611111113WSep 15 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv1.91471311113V. Hel1.80111111832LSep 9 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv3.75521171D. Kozoriz1.2511117113LSep 9 · 09:25D. Belanchik2.10121111123O. Maksymkiv1.671437101WSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.4411115492O. Maksymkiv2.63741111113WSep 9 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv2.6311115113A. Didyk1.44571151WSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123LSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 15 · 12:25O. Melnik3.25117641S. Kryvoshyi1.3381111113LSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191WSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113LSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.40815371S. Kryvoshyi2.75111311113LSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990WSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772
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