TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136818
Played Sep 16Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911112115911119
Orest Melnik
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 76.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 60–11 Orest Melnik Orest Melnik has won 11 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-11 in 71
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 49 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1286 vs Melnik 1216
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Melnik 40%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Melnik 30%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +2 · Melnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnik form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.30 / Melnik 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136818
Kryvoshyi1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 64 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Melnik3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 36 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi9wins
AwayMelnik1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi100%7 of 7
AwayMelnik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi7Melnik3n = 10Kryvoshyi took 7 of 10
S2Kryvoshyi9Melnik1n = 10Kryvoshyi took 9 of 10
S3Kryvoshyi6Melnik4n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi3Melnik1n = 4Kryvoshyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiMelnikK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.329.2+8.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 561 vs 171 / 36645.6%46.7%256 / 561 vs 171 / 366Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.30/Melnik 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi4181111113O. Melnik28117641
LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi2678110O. Melnik351111133
WSep 1 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi331111113O. Melnik184590
WAug 19 · 05:25S. Kryvoshyi331111113O. Melnik238870
WAug 18 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi391711113O. Melnik2815850
WAug 5 · 06:55S. Kryvoshyi4011116123O. Melnik359511101
WAug 4 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi331111113O. Melnik205870
WJul 29 · 06:25S. Kryvoshyi47111177113O. Melnik4066111162
WJul 28 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi331111113O. Melnik215970
WJul 22 · 06:25S. Kryvoshyi48711811113O. Melnik4411811592
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192WSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420LSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123LSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980WSep 15 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0011117113V. Hel1.73771171LSep 15 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.441711113S. Kryvoshyi2.6315970WSep 15 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv2.508820S. Kryvoshyi1.501111113WSep 15 · 12:25O. Melnik3.25117641S. Kryvoshyi1.3381111113LSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191WSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113
O. Melnik10
WSep 16 · 07:55O. Melnik1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.753730LSep 16 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.2511811113O. Melnik1.57811691LSep 16 · 05:25O. Melnik2.507380V. Hel1.501111113WSep 15 · 17:55O. Maksymkiv3.4011117572O. Melnik1.30891111113LSep 15 · 16:55O. Melnik1.73126100D. Kasian2.001411123LSep 15 · 15:55O. Melnik2.385116101V. Hel1.5311411123LSep 15 · 14:25O. Melnik4.509490K. Tkachenko1.171111113LSep 15 · 12:25O. Melnik3.25117641S. Kryvoshyi1.3381111113WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162
Upcoming Matches
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