TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115911811––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 72.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 2–4 Serhii Kryvoshyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1121 vs Kryvoshyi 1339
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Kryvoshyi 100%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Kryvoshyi 70%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -2 · Kryvoshyi +5
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 3.00 / Kryvoshyi 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166181
Maslovskyi3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 67 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Kryvoshyi1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 65 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it88% 58 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi2wins
AwayKryvoshyi4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvoshyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi2Kryvoshyi4n = 6Kryvoshyi took 4 of 6
S2Maslovskyi3Kryvoshyi3n = 6split evenly
S3Maslovskyi2Kryvoshyi4n = 6Kryvoshyi took 4 of 6
S4Maslovskyi1Kryvoshyi3n = 4Kryvoshyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiKryvoshyiM − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.037.5−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 857 vs 250 / 55249.8%45.3%427 / 857 vs 250 / 552Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiMaslovskyi 3.00/Kryvoshyi 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi35711981S. Kryvoshyi3811511113
LAug 6 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi32781161S. Kryvoshyi4211119113
WMay 10 · 17:25O. Maslovskyi5713111111113S. Kryvoshyi4815513872
LJan 12 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi28113771S. Kryvoshyi4291111113
WApr 17 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi341112113S. Kryvoshyi2171040
LApr 16 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi2477100S. Kryvoshyi341111123
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk1.57113971O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Vivatenko1.2811118113O. Maslovskyi3.50881171LSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112WSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670LSep 20 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi3.2591181192V. Kheresko1.33119115113LSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4.4078121132O. Maksymkiv1.151111109113WSep 20 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi1.9111711113I. Fokin1.80811771WSep 18 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.1011117113I. Fokin1.67781171WSep 18 · 09:25H. Oliynyk1.33118941O. Maslovskyi3.2541111113WSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 16 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi1.73121167113D. Belanchik2.00102111172WSep 16 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.30911119113O. Melnik3.4011251192WSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192WSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420LSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123LSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980WSep 15 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0011117113V. Hel1.73771171LSep 15 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.441711113S. Kryvoshyi2.6315970WSep 15 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv2.508820S. Kryvoshyi1.501111113
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