TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117311911711––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 61.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 47–43 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Salivonchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-43 in 90
Salivonchyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1240 vs Maslovskyi 1137
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 40% vs Maslovskyi 20%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 60% vs Maslovskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk +1 · Maslovskyi -3
Maslovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.57 / Maslovskyi 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166218
Salivonchyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 78 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it72% 58 of 81
Maslovskyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 67 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk7wins
AwayMaslovskyi3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSalivonchyk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayMaslovskyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk7Maslovskyi3n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S2Salivonchyk7Maslovskyi3n = 10Salivonchyk took 7 of 10
S3Salivonchyk4Maslovskyi6n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Salivonchyk3Maslovskyi6n = 9Maslovskyi took 6 of 9
S5Salivonchyk4Maslovskyi1n = 5Salivonchyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.0+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 609 vs 428 / 85853.5%49.9%326 / 609 vs 428 / 858Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.57/Maslovskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk30113971O. Maslovskyi4071111113
WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk51119711133O. Maslovskyi45811114112
WAug 31 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk48611127123O. Maslovskyi501181011102
WAug 30 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk45111166113O. Maslovskyi4578111182
WAug 24 · 11:25V. Salivonchyk546131113113O. Maslovskyi47111151552
WAug 17 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk4011117113O. Maslovskyi28851141
LAug 16 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk4291111652O. Maslovskyi44116511113
WAug 9 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk3911116113O. Maslovskyi31661181
WAug 3 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk351113113O. Maslovskyi2891180
LAug 2 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk31117761O. Maslovskyi4291111113
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112LSep 20 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk1.91741181O. Maksymkiv1.8011119113LSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113WSep 20 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk1.611111113I. Fokin2.207760WSep 20 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk2.20111179113V. Kheresko1.6197111182LSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 09:55I. Fokin1.8310128121V. Salivonchyk1.83121011143WSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Vivatenko1.2811118113O. Maslovskyi3.50881171LSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112WSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670LSep 20 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi3.2591181192V. Kheresko1.33119115113LSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4.4078121132O. Maksymkiv1.151111109113WSep 20 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi1.9111711113I. Fokin1.80811771WSep 18 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.1011117113I. Fokin1.67781171WSep 18 · 09:25H. Oliynyk1.33118941O. Maslovskyi3.2541111113WSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113
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