TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Illia Fokin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVasil Salivonchyk to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vasil Salivonchyk at 60.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 1–1 Illia Fokin Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Salivonchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1263 vs Fokin 1080
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 60% vs Fokin 0%
Salivonchyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 50% vs Fokin 30%
Salivonchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk +1 · Fokin -5
Fokin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Salivonchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.61 / Fokin 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161376
Salivonchyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it71% 56 of 79
Fokin2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 35 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk1wins
AwayFokin1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSalivonchykFokinS − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.042.0+5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 602 vs 145 / 27953.7%52%323 / 602 vs 145 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.61/Fokin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk47121011143I. Fokin4210128121
V. Salivonchyk10
WSep 20 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk2.20111179113V. Kheresko1.6197111182LSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 09:55I. Fokin1.8310128121V. Salivonchyk1.83121011143WSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143LSep 14 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.7351111113V. Salivonchyk2.00113971LSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780LSep 13 · 18:25O. Sapuzhak2.6361112123V. Salivonchyk1.4411810101WSep 13 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.1011118452V. Salivonchyk1.67961111113LSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381WSep 13 · 13:55V. Kheresko1.73781111162V. Salivonchyk2.00111178183
I. Fokin10
LSep 20 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi1.9111711113I. Fokin1.80811771LSep 18 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.1011117113I. Fokin1.67781171LSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin2.75712261V. Kheresko1.40111011113LSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131WSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113LSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961WSep 17 · 17:25I. Fokin2.63111111113O. Maksymkiv1.44134361WSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 14 · 09:55I. Fokin1.8310128121V. Salivonchyk1.83121011143
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