TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148470
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118711117––
Illia Fokin
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeIllia Fokin to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Illia Fokin at 57.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 5–8 Illia Fokin Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:35What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fokin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Fokin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1112 vs Fokin 1074
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Fokin 20%
Maslovskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Fokin 40%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +2 · Fokin -3
Fokin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fokin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.10 / Fokin 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Fokin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148470
Maslovskyi2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 64 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Fokin1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 59 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it74% 48 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwayFokin7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFokin leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFokin77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi1Fokin9n = 10Fokin took 9 of 10
S2Maslovskyi4Fokin6n = 10Fokin took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi6Fokin4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi4Fokin3n = 7Maslovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Maslovskyi2Fokin3n = 5Fokin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiFokinM − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.7−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 854 vs 145 / 27749.9%52.4%426 / 854 vs 145 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FokinMaslovskyi 2.10/Fokin 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Fokin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi341112113I. Fokin1761010
LSep 10 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi348115101I. Fokin4211811123
LSep 9 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi34871181I. Fokin3811115113
LAug 19 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi511091111102I. Fokin48121158123
LMay 23 · 04:55O. Maslovskyi48811711112I. Fokin45115115133
WMay 9 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi46671111113I. Fokin4011113782
LApr 23 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi2559110I. Fokin351111133
LApr 22 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi2111640I. Fokin351311113
LApr 14 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi4371113392I. Fokin501161111113
WMar 28 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi6113111111153I. Fokin57151397132
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 18 · 09:25H. Oliynyk1.33118941O. Maslovskyi3.2541111113WSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113LSep 18 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.63101050V. Kheresko1.441212113LSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 17 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441112113B. Pyrtyk2.6361010WSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi1.73531151M. Dunas2.0011118113WSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113WSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461
I. Fokin10
LSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin2.75712261V. Kheresko1.40111011113LSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131WSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113LSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961WSep 17 · 17:25I. Fokin2.63111111113O. Maksymkiv1.44134361WSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 17 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.36119137113I. Fokin3.00511111192LSep 17 · 12:25V. Kheresko1.4411119113I. Fokin2.63951151WSep 16 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi1.9110980I. Fokin1.801211103
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