TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148547
Played Sep 18Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114811911411––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 75.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 13–5 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Oliynyk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1246 vs Maslovskyi 1095
Oliynyk
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 40% vs Maslovskyi 60%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 50% vs Maslovskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -1 · Maslovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.33 / Maslovskyi 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Oliynyk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148547
Oliynyk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 29 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Maslovskyi3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 64 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk8wins
AwayMaslovskyi2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOliynyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk87.5%7 of 8
AwayMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk8Maslovskyi2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S2Oliynyk6Maslovskyi4n = 10Oliynyk took 6 of 10
S3Oliynyk7Maslovskyi3n = 10Oliynyk took 7 of 10
S4Oliynyk4Maslovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Oliynyk2Maslovskyi1n = 3Oliynyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykMaslovskyiO − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.934.1+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 227 vs 425 / 85351.5%49.8%117 / 227 vs 425 / 853Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.33/Maslovskyi 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 16:25H. Oliynyk4171111123O. Maslovskyi321129101
WAug 13 · 14:55H. Oliynyk331111113O. Maslovskyi175660
LJun 1 · 05:25H. Oliynyk367116121O. Maslovskyi4011411143
WApr 2 · 11:55H. Oliynyk4111711123O. Maslovskyi305114101
WFeb 27 · 07:25H. Oliynyk341112113O. Maslovskyi1841040
LNov 24 · 17:25H. Oliynyk4411811862O. Maslovskyi46911411113
WNov 3 · 13:25H. Oliynyk521191110113O. Maslovskyi3541141242
WOct 9 · 15:25H. Oliynyk4111118113O. Maslovskyi37981191
WSep 11 · 14:25H. Oliynyk44111111113O. Maslovskyi39913981
WAug 28 · 14:25H. Oliynyk43111146113O. Maslovskyi4797111192
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 18 · 10:25M. Treschetka5.00126101392H. Oliynyk1.1410111211113LSep 18 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.501196101V. Kheresko2.5061111123WSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860LSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113WSep 14 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.171211113M. Treschetka4.5010420LSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163WSep 14 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.44111188113V. Kheresko2.6323111192LSep 14 · 05:55H. Oliynyk1.61116951I. Fokin2.2051111113WSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780WSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113LSep 18 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.63101050V. Kheresko1.441212113LSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 17 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441112113B. Pyrtyk2.6361010WSep 17 · 09:25Y. Shcherbak3.4010990O. Maslovskyi1.301211113LSep 17 · 07:25V. Ivanytskyi1.731111113O. Maslovskyi2.009470LSep 17 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi1.73531151M. Dunas2.0011118113WSep 17 · 05:25A. Nikolenko3.40711761O. Maslovskyi1.3011811113WSep 16 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.3081111113A. Nikolenko3.40119461WSep 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi1.5011119113Y. Shcherbak2.50771121
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