TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711411119811––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Maksymkiv to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleh Maksymkiv at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 20–34 Oleh Maksymkiv Vasil Salivonchyk has won 20 of their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maksymkiv
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-34 in 54
Maksymkiv
Correct
gap of 14 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1257 vs Maksymkiv 1195
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 60% vs Maksymkiv 40%
Salivonchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 50% vs Maksymkiv 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk -1 · Maksymkiv -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Salivonchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 1.91 / Maksymkiv 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Salivonchyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13161552
Salivonchyk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 35 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Maksymkiv1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 119 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk5wins
AwayMaksymkiv5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk50%4 of 8
AwayMaksymkivn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk8Maksymkiv2n = 10Salivonchyk took 8 of 10
S2Salivonchyk5Maksymkiv5n = 10split evenly
S3Salivonchyk4Maksymkiv6n = 10Maksymkiv took 6 of 10
S4Salivonchyk6Maksymkiv3n = 9Salivonchyk took 6 of 9
S5Salivonchyk1Maksymkiv4n = 5Maksymkiv took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykMaksymkivS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match46.340.4+5.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 604 vs 385 / 74353.6%51.8%324 / 604 vs 385 / 743Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalivonchykSalivonchyk 1.91/Maksymkiv 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk4211911113O. Maksymkiv30711481
LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk5311196892O. Maksymkiv577171111113
WAug 31 · 04:25V. Salivonchyk53911811143O. Maksymkiv40115111122
LAug 30 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk51111198122O. Maksymkiv48481111143
LAug 23 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk651116102082O. Maksymkiv656181218113
WAug 17 · 06:25V. Salivonchyk331111113O. Maksymkiv135620
WAug 10 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk4111811113O. Maksymkiv29911541
WJul 19 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk44111210113O. Maksymkiv322101281
LJun 15 · 04:25V. Salivonchyk4113471162O. Maksymkiv511111117113
LJun 14 · 17:25V. Salivonchyk409911111O. Maksymkiv3911114133
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113WSep 20 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk1.611111113I. Fokin2.207760WSep 20 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk2.20111179113V. Kheresko1.6197111182LSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 09:55I. Fokin1.8310128121V. Salivonchyk1.83121011143WSep 14 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.1073120V. Salivonchyk1.671111143LSep 14 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.7351111113V. Salivonchyk2.00113971LSep 14 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.501111113V. Salivonchyk2.504780LSep 13 · 18:25O. Sapuzhak2.6361112123V. Salivonchyk1.4411810101WSep 13 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.1011118452V. Salivonchyk1.67961111113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 20 · 15:25O. Maksymkiv1.4471110111I. Fokin2.6311712133WSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4.4078121132O. Maksymkiv1.151111109113WSep 20 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv2.751113119113M. Treschetka1.4091561182LSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161LSep 17 · 17:25I. Fokin2.63111111113O. Maksymkiv1.44134361LSep 17 · 15:55V. Kheresko2.00991111113O. Maksymkiv1.7311116882WSep 17 · 13:55O. Melnik1.30159110O. Maksymkiv3.401711133LSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840WSep 16 · 11:25V. Hel1.808101171O. Maksymkiv1.9111125113LSep 16 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv2.75145981D. Kasian1.40121111113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Maksymkiv
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