TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191315116911118
Mykolay Treschetka
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Mykolay Treschetka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 104 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 67.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 31–62 Mykolay Treschetka Oleh Maksymkiv has won 31 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Treschetka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-62 in 93
Treschetka
Wrong
gap of 31 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1171 vs Treschetka 1160
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 20% vs Treschetka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 20% vs Treschetka 40%
Treschetka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv -3 · Treschetka -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Treschetka form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 2.75 / Treschetka 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Treschetka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161828
Maksymkiv2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 56 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Treschetka1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 66 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it81% 47 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv1wins
AwayTreschetka9wins
Treschetka leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkivn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTreschetka100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv1Treschetka9n = 10Treschetka took 9 of 10
S2Maksymkiv5Treschetka5n = 10split evenly
S3Maksymkiv0Treschetka10n = 10Treschetka took 10 of 10
S4Maksymkiv1Treschetka4n = 5Treschetka took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksymkivTreschetkaM − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match24.036.3−12.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivTreschetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 742 vs 470 / 93951.8%50.1%384 / 742 vs 470 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaMaksymkiv 2.75/Treschetka 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv164840M. Treschetka331111113
WSep 7 · 06:55O. Maksymkiv4111116133M. Treschetka354911111
LSep 6 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv31611861M. Treschetka4211911113
LSep 3 · 04:55O. Maksymkiv115330M. Treschetka331111113
LAug 31 · 08:25O. Maksymkiv30811651M. Treschetka4111811113
LAug 30 · 12:55O. Maksymkiv30811291M. Treschetka3911611113
LAug 28 · 04:25O. Maksymkiv138320M. Treschetka331111113
LAug 27 · 18:55O. Maksymkiv184950M. Treschetka331111113
LAug 23 · 14:25O. Maksymkiv2071030M. Treschetka341112113
LAug 19 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv30411961M. Treschetka4011711113
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4.4078121132O. Maksymkiv1.151111109113LSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161LSep 17 · 17:25I. Fokin2.63111111113O. Maksymkiv1.44134361LSep 17 · 15:55V. Kheresko2.00991111113O. Maksymkiv1.7311116882WSep 17 · 13:55O. Melnik1.30159110O. Maksymkiv3.401711133LSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840WSep 16 · 11:25V. Hel1.808101171O. Maksymkiv1.9111125113LSep 16 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv2.75145981D. Kasian1.40121111113LSep 16 · 07:55O. Melnik1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.753730LSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420
M. Treschetka10
LSep 20 · 13:55M. Treschetka2.5011128962V. Kheresko1.50710111193LSep 18 · 10:25M. Treschetka5.00126101392H. Oliynyk1.1410111211113LSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113LSep 18 · 07:25M. Treschetka2.201051181O. Maslovskyi1.6112119113WSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131LSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113LSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110LSep 17 · 14:55M. Treschetka3.40117111272O. Melnik1.30711714113WSep 17 · 11:55M. Treschetka1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.754840
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