TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136683
Played Sep 16Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210112611711117
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 15–18 Dmitriy Belanchik Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Belanchik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1295 vs Belanchik 1187
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Belanchik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Belanchik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi +3 · Belanchik -2
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.73 / Belanchik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136683
Kryvoshyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 64 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Belanchik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 16 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi5wins
AwayBelanchik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi80%4 of 5
AwayBelanchik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi5Belanchik5n = 10split evenly
S2Kryvoshyi5Belanchik5n = 10split evenly
S3Kryvoshyi6Belanchik4n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi2Belanchik5n = 7Belanchik took 5 of 7
S5Kryvoshyi2Belanchik1n = 3Kryvoshyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiBelanchikK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.536.0+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 562 vs 111 / 24845.7%44.8%257 / 562 vs 111 / 248Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.73/Belanchik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi279990D. Belanchik331111113
WApr 1 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi43114611113D. Belanchik4381111582
WMar 21 · 11:25S. Kryvoshyi47116118113D. Belanchik4361171182
LMar 20 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi389811101D. Belanchik4311119123
WMar 13 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi4291111113D. Belanchik31114791
WMar 12 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi331111113D. Belanchik186750
LMar 5 · 17:55S. Kryvoshyi34911771D. Belanchik3811511113
LFeb 21 · 11:25S. Kryvoshyi34118871D. Belanchik3851111113
LFeb 20 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi55911171082D. Belanchik581191512113
WFeb 13 · 11:25S. Kryvoshyi321111103D. Belanchik155550
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 16 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.30911119113O. Melnik3.4011251192WSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192WSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420LSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123LSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980WSep 15 · 17:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0011117113V. Hel1.73771171LSep 15 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.441711113S. Kryvoshyi2.6315970WSep 15 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv2.508820S. Kryvoshyi1.501111113WSep 15 · 12:25O. Melnik3.25117641S. Kryvoshyi1.3381111113LSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191
D. Belanchik10
LSep 16 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.67101112562V. Hel2.101271011113LSep 16 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.758950D. Kasian1.401111113WSep 16 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.2511811113O. Melnik1.57811691WSep 16 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.9181111113O. Maksymkiv1.80118671WSep 13 · 17:55I. Fokin1.8071411592D. Belanchik1.911112711113LSep 13 · 16:55D. Belanchik2.38116881V. Kheresko1.5381111113WSep 13 · 15:55D. Belanchik1.73111111113V. Salivonchyk2.00613381LSep 13 · 14:25D. Belanchik1.8381080O. Sapuzhak1.831112113WSep 13 · 12:25D. Belanchik1.831111108113M. Treschetka1.8374121142LSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131
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