TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Hel vs Denys Kozoriz 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Valerii Hel
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111113118611––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Hel above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 79 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 63.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Hel 0–2 Denys Kozoriz Valerii Hel has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hel 1248 vs Kozoriz 1404
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hel 40% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hel 30% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hel -1 · Kozoriz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kozoriz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozoriz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHel 2.38 / Kozoriz 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kozoriz)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172963
Hel2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 27 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Kozoriz1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 53 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it82% 46 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHel0wins
AwayKozoriz2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKozoriz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHelKozorizH − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.544.0−12.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHelKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 231 vs 269 / 50355.4%53.5%128 / 231 vs 269 / 503Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.734.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizHel 2.38/Kozoriz 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 17 · 06:25V. Hel46561312102D. Kozoriz5511111110123
LApr 7 · 18:25V. Hel177730D. Kozoriz331111113
V. Hel10
LSep 22 · 11:55V. Hel1.9171161372D. Kasian1.801181111113WSep 21 · 10:35V. Salivonchyk2.757101191V. Hel1.4011124113LSep 21 · 09:35V. Hel1.28111111972O. Maslovskyi3.50139611113LSep 21 · 08:35V. Hel1.8381111622S. Kryvoshyi1.83114711113WSep 21 · 07:05V. Hel1.531111113M. Vivatenko2.388770WSep 17 · 18:25V. Hel1.8311119113O. Maksymkiv1.83891161LSep 17 · 16:25M. Treschetka3.501113133V. Hel1.28711110LSep 17 · 15:25V. Hel1.501071161I. Fokin2.5012114113LSep 17 · 14:25V. Kheresko2.7511116113V. Hel1.40691161LSep 17 · 12:55V. Hel1.441195101O. Melnik2.6381111123
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 22 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi2.3811119592D. Kozoriz1.53771111113WSep 9 · 11:25O. Maksymkiv3.75521171D. Kozoriz1.2511117113LSep 9 · 09:55D. Kozoriz1.8091120A. Didyk1.911113113WSep 9 · 07:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.36411851D. Kozoriz3.0011611113WSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113WSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113WSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113LSep 8 · 16:55D. Kozoriz1.679490K. Tkachenko2.101111113WSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570
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