TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Kabelka vs Radek Hruby 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114115––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Radek Hruby below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jan Kabelka at 65.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kabelka 7–4 Radek Hruby Radek Hruby has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kabelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Kabelka
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kabelka 1455 vs Hruby 1236
Kabelka
Correct
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kabelka 60% vs Hruby 20%
Kabelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kabelka 50% vs Hruby 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kabelka +3 · Hruby -2
Kabelka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kabelka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hruby form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 1.50 / Hruby 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kabelka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13210298
Kabelka1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Hruby2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back31% 8 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKabelka6wins
AwayHruby4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKabelka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKabelka60%3 of 5
AwayHruby40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kabelka5Hruby5n = 10split evenly
S2Kabelka6Hruby4n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S3Kabelka8Hruby2n = 10Kabelka took 8 of 10
S4Kabelka3Hruby4n = 7Hruby took 4 of 7
S5Kabelka2Hruby3n = 5Hruby took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKabelkaHrubyK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.3+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaHrubyBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 284 vs 52 / 13949.3%37.4%140 / 284 vs 52 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaKabelka 1.50/Hruby 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 18:05J. Kabelka47813114113R. Hruby43111151152
WJul 5 · 21:40J. Kabelka4471111153R. Hruby321135131
WJul 5 · 20:35J. Kabelka331111113R. Hruby237790
WJun 28 · 16:35J. Kabelka3961111113R. Hruby29116751
WMay 29 · 19:05J. Kabelka511181110113R. Hruby4481191242
LMay 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka2127120R. Hruby361111143
LApr 26 · 21:15J. Kabelka481161110102R. Hruby47411812123
LApr 26 · 20:35J. Kabelka4111115682R. Hruby46491111113
WMar 1 · 21:35J. Kabelka331111113R. Hruby164750
LDec 19 · 20:35J. Kabelka4279111142R. Hruby47111177113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 25 · 21:39J. Kabelka2.25111197113R. Vavricka1.5789111172WSep 25 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.3613117113M. Jinek3.001191131WSep 25 · 19:05J. Martin1.574590J. Kabelka2.251111113LSep 25 · 18:35R. Vavricka1.6791311113J. Kabelka2.101111741LSep 22 · 21:35M. Chmelicek2.0011911113J. Kabelka1.73311981WSep 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.9151151192J. Kabelka1.80119114113WSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113LSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 20 · 21:14J. Kabelka2.38116481R. Neterda1.5381111113LSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113
R. Hruby10
LSep 12 · 17:04P. Pesout1.731214113R. Hruby2.00101260LSep 12 · 16:35T. Motacek1.531111113R. Hruby2.383880WSep 12 · 15:35R. Hruby2.63119115113P. Pesout1.4441141142LSep 12 · 14:05J. Martin1.4061111113R. Hruby2.75114241LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550
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