TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Kabelka vs Matyas Jinek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311119711113––
Matyas Jinek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeJan Kabelka to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Matyas Jinek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 76 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jan Kabelka at 68.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kabelka 1–0 Matyas Jinek Matyas Jinek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kabelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kabelka 1428 vs Jinek 1245
Kabelka
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kabelka 60% vs Jinek 20%
Kabelka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kabelka 50% vs Jinek 20%
Kabelka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kabelka +1 · Jinek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kabelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jinek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 1.36 / Jinek 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kabelka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13196085
Kabelka1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Jinek3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog20% won 2 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKabelka1wins
AwayJinek0wins
Kabelka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKabelkaJinekK − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.030.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaJinekBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 282 vs 8 / 3548.9%22.9%138 / 282 vs 8 / 35Avg sets wonper match1.91.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.032.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KabelkaKabelka 1.36/Jinek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kabelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 19:35J. Kabelka3611113113M. Jinek30961141
J. Kabelka10
WSep 25 · 21:39J. Kabelka2.25111197113R. Vavricka1.5789111172WSep 25 · 19:05J. Martin1.574590J. Kabelka2.251111113LSep 25 · 18:35R. Vavricka1.6791311113J. Kabelka2.101111741LSep 22 · 21:35M. Chmelicek2.0011911113J. Kabelka1.73311981WSep 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.9151151192J. Kabelka1.80119114113WSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113LSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 20 · 21:14J. Kabelka2.38116481R. Neterda1.5381111113LSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113WSep 20 · 19:05R. Neterda1.401311771J. Kabelka2.7515811113
M. Jinek10
LSep 25 · 21:10J. Martin1.17141110113M. Jinek4.501271281LSep 25 · 19:35M. Jinek2.3811691162R. Vavricka1.53711116113LSep 25 · 18:05J. Martin1.251111113M. Jinek3.758190WSep 23 · 21:15L. Vosyka1.649113111M. Jinek2.1311711133LSep 23 · 20:35M. Chmelicek1.22119913113M. Jinek4.00811111192LSep 23 · 19:35M. Jinek2.756116101J. Martin1.4011911123LSep 23 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.3671111113M. Jinek3.00115781LSep 22 · 21:05M. Jinek2.63117951L. Vosyka1.4471111113LSep 22 · 20:35M. Chmelicek1.301113113M. Jinek3.4061130LSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113
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