TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jirasek Martin vs Jan Kabelka 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 58.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–1 Jan Kabelka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Martin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martin 1586 vs Kabelka 1408
Martin
Wrong
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 100% vs Kabelka 40%
Martin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 90% vs Kabelka 50%
Martin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +7 · Kabelka -2
Martin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Martin) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.57 / Kabelka 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Martin)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13193730
Martin1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Kabelka2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 52 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMartin1wins
AwayKabelka1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMartinKabelkaM − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.038.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 106 vs 137 / 28154.7%48.8%58 / 106 vs 137 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.57/Kabelka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 20 · 21:04J. Martin4151111143J. Kabelka341174121
LAug 20 · 18:05J. Martin31116591J. Kabelka4291111113
J. Martin10
WSep 25 · 18:05J. Martin1.251111113M. Jinek3.758190WSep 24 · 21:33J. Martin1.739111111123M. Chmelicek2.00119513102WSep 24 · 20:05R. Vavricka1.9112981162J. Martin1.801011116113WSep 24 · 19:35M. Chmelicek1.91811721J. Martin1.8011311113WSep 24 · 18:35J. Martin1.671111113M. Rojka2.107350WSep 24 · 17:35R. Neterda1.83111291192J. Martin1.83614116113WSep 24 · 16:35J. Jr2.387790J. Martin1.531111113LSep 24 · 15:35J. Martin2.1012116742R. Neterda1.671041111113WSep 24 · 14:05P. Chvatal1.5314911121J. Martin2.3816114143WSep 23 · 21:45J. Martin1.83111126113M. Chmelicek1.8399111192
J. Kabelka10
LSep 25 · 18:35R. Vavricka1.6791311113J. Kabelka2.101111741LSep 22 · 21:35M. Chmelicek2.0011911113J. Kabelka1.73311981WSep 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.9151151192J. Kabelka1.80119114113WSep 22 · 19:35M. Jinek3.00961141J. Kabelka1.3611113113LSep 22 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.73613871M. Chmelicek2.00111111113LSep 20 · 21:14J. Kabelka2.38116481R. Neterda1.5381111113LSep 20 · 20:35J. Kabelka1.73101161252M. Chmelicek2.001291110113WSep 20 · 19:05R. Neterda1.401311771J. Kabelka2.7515811113WSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.44713911102J. Kabelka2.631111116123WSep 18 · 21:48J. Kabelka1.831111113M. Cyrus1.839680
Upcoming Matches
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J. Kabelka
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