TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156421
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Kabelka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Miroslav Cyrus
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Kabelka above · Miroslav Cyrus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8
56 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kabelka 6–8 Miroslav Cyrus Jan Kabelka has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyrus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKabelka 1.83 / Cyrus 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cyrus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13156421
Kabelka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Cyrus1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKabelka5wins
AwayCyrus5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKabelka66.7%4 of 6
AwayCyrus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kabelka6Cyrus4n = 10Kabelka took 6 of 10
S2Kabelka4Cyrus6n = 10Cyrus took 6 of 10
S3Kabelka7Cyrus3n = 10Kabelka took 7 of 10
S4Kabelka1Cyrus5n = 6Cyrus took 5 of 6
S5Kabelka2Cyrus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKabelkaCyrusK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.7−0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKabelkaCyrusBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 271 vs 89 / 19548.7%45.6%132 / 271 vs 89 / 195Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrusKabelka 1.83/Cyrus 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cyrus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka51119119113M. Cyrus4471171182
WAug 10 · 18:05J. Kabelka371511113M. Cyrus2613670
WAug 6 · 21:20J. Kabelka47101511113M. Cyrus321213521
WAug 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka45125116113M. Cyrus42101151152
WAug 5 · 20:05J. Kabelka331111113M. Cyrus217590
LJul 5 · 18:35J. Kabelka2578100M. Cyrus341111123
LJun 9 · 19:35J. Kabelka3911311772M. Cyrus50811911113
LMay 12 · 18:35J. Kabelka411213971M. Cyrus47141111113
LApr 3 · 16:35J. Kabelka115330M. Cyrus331111113
LMar 19 · 19:05J. Kabelka4011811372M. Cyrus48611911113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 18 · 20:05J. Kabelka1.801111113M. Chmelicek1.912990WSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182WSep 18 · 18:05J. Kabelka1.7318118113M. Dvorak2.001671151WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720
M. Cyrus10
WSep 18 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.91116135113M. Dvorak1.80811111172LSep 18 · 19:05J. Kabelka1.91119119113M. Cyrus1.8071171182WSep 18 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.73714111162M. Cyrus2.00111685113LSep 16 · 21:45L. Vosyka1.4411611113M. Cyrus2.63711881WSep 16 · 20:35M. Cyrus2.0016811113R. Jonas1.731411891WSep 16 · 19:05R. Vavricka1.5061111182M. Cyrus2.50111178113LSep 16 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.5311118113M. Cyrus2.38571171LSep 14 · 21:05M. Cyrus2.00331191R. Jonas1.7311117113LSep 14 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113M. Cyrus2.208440WSep 14 · 19:35R. Jonas1.83971151M. Cyrus1.8311119113
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