TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13139863
Played Sep 16Finished
Richard Vavricka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611111117118811
Miroslav Cyrus
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:53 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeRichard Vavricka to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Vavricka above · Miroslav Cyrus below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 85 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Richard Vavricka at 61.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Richard Vavricka 2–0 Miroslav Cyrus Miroslav Cyrus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vavricka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vavricka 1511 vs Cyrus 1300
Vavricka
Wrong
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavricka 60% vs Cyrus 20%
Vavricka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavricka 60% vs Cyrus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavricka +1 · Cyrus -3
Cyrus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vavricka) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrus form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavricka 1.50 / Cyrus 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vavricka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13139863
Vavricka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Cyrus2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 16 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVavricka2wins
AwayCyrus0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVavricka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVavrickaCyrusV − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.538.5+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavrickaCyrusBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 221 vs 85 / 18952%45%115 / 221 vs 85 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavrickaVavricka 1.50/Cyrus 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Vavricka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cyrus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 21 · 11:05R. Vavricka43101111113M. Cyrus28126821
WFeb 1 · 12:35R. Vavricka481111411113M. Cyrus4999111372
R. Vavricka10
WSep 16 · 18:05R. Vavricka1.501111113R. Jonas2.506670LSep 15 · 21:38D. Hons1.4411114113R. Vavricka2.63541191WSep 15 · 20:05R. Vavricka1.801511113J. Vidourek1.9113690WSep 15 · 19:05R. Vavricka1.5711119113M. Flesar2.25691171LSep 15 · 18:05R. Vavricka2.107790D. Hons1.671111113LSep 13 · 09:40J. Jr2.101112113R. Vavricka1.6721060WSep 13 · 08:05R. Neterda1.8047111172R. Vavricka1.91111139113WSep 13 · 07:35M. Chmelicek2.109860R. Vavricka1.671111113LSep 13 · 06:35R. Vavricka1.57101171162J. Jr2.25129116113WSep 12 · 09:10R. Vavricka1.671215113J. Jr2.10101350
M. Cyrus10
LSep 16 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.5311118113M. Cyrus2.38571171LSep 14 · 21:05M. Cyrus2.00331191R. Jonas1.7311117113LSep 14 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113M. Cyrus2.208440WSep 14 · 19:35R. Jonas1.83971151M. Cyrus1.8311119113LSep 14 · 18:35M. Cyrus1.916760M. Rojka1.801111113WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavricka
Nothing scheduled
M. Cyrus
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