Richard Vavricka vs Roman Jonas 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13139389

Played Sep 16Finished

Richard Vavricka

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

116116117––––

Roman Jonas

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Richard Vavricka to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingRichard Vavricka above · Roman Jonas below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Richard Vavricka at 54.0%

52 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:37

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Vavricka

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Vavricka 1502 vs Jonas 1357

Vavricka

Correct

both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vavricka 40% vs Jonas 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vavricka 60% vs Jonas 30%

Vavricka

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vavricka -1 · Jonas +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vavricka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vavricka form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVavricka 1.50 / Jonas 2.50

Signal prob.63% / 38%

Edge (Vavricka)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13139389

Vavricka1.50

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite66% won 40 of 61

Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23

Up 1–0, closes it94% 32 of 34

Jonas2.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog8% won 1 of 13

Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10

Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVavrickaJonasBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 220 vs 34 / 7651.8%44.7%114 / 220 vs 34 / 76Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vavricka

Vavricka 1.50/Jonas 2.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.5%

Vavricka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Vavricka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Vavricka10